Task2: Mr. X is thinking of investing $ 1000. The following payoff table shows his profit possibilities depending on different market conditions. The market may experience a big rise, small rise, small fall, and big fall. The corresponding probabilities are 0.3, 0.4, 0.2, and 0.1 respectively. Profit Investment options ($) Small rise (p = 0.4) Small fall (p Big rise (p = 0.3) Big fall (p = 0.1) = 0.2) Gold -100 100 300 Bond Market 250 200 -100 -150 Stock Market 500 250 -200 -600 Fixed Deposit 60 60 60 60 Find out where Mr. X would invest - 1. By following Maximin decision rule? 2. By following Minimax regret decision rule? 3. To maximize expected value of returms from his investment? 4. To minimize expected opportunity loss?

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ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
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Task2:
Mr. X is thinking of investing $ 1000. The following payoff table shows his profit
possibilities depending on different market conditions. The market may experience a big
rise, small rise, small fall, and big fall. The corresponding probabilities are 0.3, 0.4, 0.2, and
0.1 respectively.
Profit
Investment options ($)
Big rise (p
= 0.3)
Small rise (p
= 0.4)
Small fall (p
= 0.2)
Big fall (p
= 0.1)
Gold
-100
100
300
Bond Market
250
200
-100
-150
Stock Market
500
250
-200
-600
Fixed Deposit
60
60
60
60
Find out where Mr. X would invest - 1. By
following Maximin decision rule?
2. By following Minimax regret decision rule?
3. To maximize expected value of returns from his investment?
4. To minimize expected opportunity loss?
Transcribed Image Text:Task2: Mr. X is thinking of investing $ 1000. The following payoff table shows his profit possibilities depending on different market conditions. The market may experience a big rise, small rise, small fall, and big fall. The corresponding probabilities are 0.3, 0.4, 0.2, and 0.1 respectively. Profit Investment options ($) Big rise (p = 0.3) Small rise (p = 0.4) Small fall (p = 0.2) Big fall (p = 0.1) Gold -100 100 300 Bond Market 250 200 -100 -150 Stock Market 500 250 -200 -600 Fixed Deposit 60 60 60 60 Find out where Mr. X would invest - 1. By following Maximin decision rule? 2. By following Minimax regret decision rule? 3. To maximize expected value of returns from his investment? 4. To minimize expected opportunity loss?
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