Table 1 below reports the present values (in £ million) of different investment projects at different interest rates in the future. Table 1. Project NPVs Future interest rate Project 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% A 76.21 72.26 68.61 65.23 62.09 59.18 56.48 B 78.81 74.2 69.98 66.12 62.57 59.31 56.31 C 80.36 75.41 70.9 66.78 63.03 59.59 56.44 D 78.81 74.33 70.22 66.44 62.97 59.76 56.81 E 84.24 77.18 71.01 65.58 60.79 56.55 52.78 probability 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.1 Calculez la valeur actuelle attendue de chaque projet. Quel projet maximise la valeur attendue ? Pourquoi choisiriez- vous de procéder avec celui-ci ? Calculez les critères maximin et maximax. Calculez le critère de regret minimax. Quand ce critère serait-il appliqué ? Calculez la valeur attendue d'une information parfaite. Que décrit-il ?

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Table 1 below reports the present values (in £ million) of different investment projects at different interest rates in the
future.
Table 1. Project NPVs
Future interest rate
Project 3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
A 76.21
72.26
68.61
65.23
62.09
59.18
56.48
B 78.81
74.2
69.98
66.12
62.57
59.31
56.31
C 80.36
75.41
70.9
66.78
63.03
59.59
56.44
D 78.81
74.33
70.22
66.44
62.97
59.76
56.81
E 84.24 77.18
71.01
65.58
60.79 56.55
52.78
probability 0.1 0.15
0.2
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.1
Calculez la valeur actuelle attendue de chaque projet. Quel projet maximise la valeur attendue ? Pourquoi choisiriez-
vous de procéder avec celui-ci ?
Calculez les critères maximin et maximax.
Calculez le critère de regret minimax. Quand ce critère serait-il appliqué ?
Calculez la valeur attendue d'une information parfaite. Que décrit-il ?
Transcribed Image Text:Table 1 below reports the present values (in £ million) of different investment projects at different interest rates in the future. Table 1. Project NPVs Future interest rate Project 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% A 76.21 72.26 68.61 65.23 62.09 59.18 56.48 B 78.81 74.2 69.98 66.12 62.57 59.31 56.31 C 80.36 75.41 70.9 66.78 63.03 59.59 56.44 D 78.81 74.33 70.22 66.44 62.97 59.76 56.81 E 84.24 77.18 71.01 65.58 60.79 56.55 52.78 probability 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.1 Calculez la valeur actuelle attendue de chaque projet. Quel projet maximise la valeur attendue ? Pourquoi choisiriez- vous de procéder avec celui-ci ? Calculez les critères maximin et maximax. Calculez le critère de regret minimax. Quand ce critère serait-il appliqué ? Calculez la valeur attendue d'une information parfaite. Que décrit-il ?
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