Suppose you want to evaluate the effectiveness of a job training program using twage - Bo + Bprogram +u as a model. You take 1,000 employees and estimate the simple regression as:

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### 15. Treatment effects without randomization

Suppose you want to evaluate the effectiveness of a job training program using \( \text{wage} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 \text{program} + u \) as a model. You take 1,000 employees and estimate the simple regression as:

\[ \widehat{\text{wage}} = 22.6 - 8.6 \text{program} \]

where:
- \( \text{wage} \) = hourly wage in dollars
- \( \text{program} \) = 1 if the employee participated in the training course, 0 otherwise

---

Suppose that in addition to performing the simple regression, you perform a multiple regression with three controls that gives the following result:

\[ \widehat{\text{wage}} = 19.5 + 7.5 \text{program} + 0.9 \text{prewearn} + 0.8 \text{educ} - 0.65 \text{age} \]

where:
- \( \text{wage} \) = hourly wage in dollars
- \( \text{program} \) = 1 if the employee participated in the training course, 0 otherwise
- \( \text{prewearn} \) = hourly wage in dollars prior to the training course becoming available
- \( \text{educ} \) = years of education
- \( \text{age} \) = age in years

---

The difference between \( \widehat{\text{wage}} \) and \( \widehat{\text{wage}} \) of an employee who participated in the training program is $ __________ per hour. (Hint: Calculate \( \widehat{\text{wage}} - \widehat{\text{wage}} \) holding \( \text{prewearn} \), \( \text{educ} \), and \( \text{age} \) constant when computing \( \widehat{\text{wage}} \).)

The difference between \( \widehat{\text{wage}} \) and \( \widehat{\text{wage}} \) of an employee who did not participate in the training program is $ __________ per hour. (Hint: Calculate \( \widehat{\text{wage}} - \widehat{\text{wage
Transcribed Image Text:### 15. Treatment effects without randomization Suppose you want to evaluate the effectiveness of a job training program using \( \text{wage} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 \text{program} + u \) as a model. You take 1,000 employees and estimate the simple regression as: \[ \widehat{\text{wage}} = 22.6 - 8.6 \text{program} \] where: - \( \text{wage} \) = hourly wage in dollars - \( \text{program} \) = 1 if the employee participated in the training course, 0 otherwise --- Suppose that in addition to performing the simple regression, you perform a multiple regression with three controls that gives the following result: \[ \widehat{\text{wage}} = 19.5 + 7.5 \text{program} + 0.9 \text{prewearn} + 0.8 \text{educ} - 0.65 \text{age} \] where: - \( \text{wage} \) = hourly wage in dollars - \( \text{program} \) = 1 if the employee participated in the training course, 0 otherwise - \( \text{prewearn} \) = hourly wage in dollars prior to the training course becoming available - \( \text{educ} \) = years of education - \( \text{age} \) = age in years --- The difference between \( \widehat{\text{wage}} \) and \( \widehat{\text{wage}} \) of an employee who participated in the training program is $ __________ per hour. (Hint: Calculate \( \widehat{\text{wage}} - \widehat{\text{wage}} \) holding \( \text{prewearn} \), \( \text{educ} \), and \( \text{age} \) constant when computing \( \widehat{\text{wage}} \).) The difference between \( \widehat{\text{wage}} \) and \( \widehat{\text{wage}} \) of an employee who did not participate in the training program is $ __________ per hour. (Hint: Calculate \( \widehat{\text{wage}} - \widehat{\text{wage
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