Suppose that a laboratory test on a blood sample yields one of two results, positive or negative. It is found that 95% of people with a particular disease produce a positive result. But 2% of people without the disease will also produce a positive result (a false positive). Suppose that 1% of the population actually has the disease. What is the probability that a person chosen at random from the population will have the disease, given that the person's blood yields a positive result?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Suppose that a laboratory test on a blood sample yields one of two results, positive or negative. It is found that 95% of people with a particular disease produce a positive result. But 2% of people without the disease will also produce a positive result (a false positive). Suppose that 1% of the population actually has the disease. What is the probability that a person chosen at random from the population will have the disease, given that the person's blood yields a positive result?
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