A study tracked a large group of people for 10 years. At the start of the study, 20% were heavy smokers (H), 30% were light smokers (L), and 50% were non-smokers (N). The interest of the study was whether the people in the study died during the study (D) or not die (Dc ). The probability that a light smoker died during the study was twice that of the probability of a non-smoker dying. Also, the probability that light smoker died during the study was half that of the probability of a heavy smoker dying. A randomly selected person from the study died during the study. What is the probability that this person was a heavy smoker (given they died, what is the probability they were a heavy smoker H)?

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 A study tracked a large group of people for 10 years. At the start of the study, 20% were heavy smokers (H), 30% were light smokers (L), and 50% were non-smokers (N).

The interest of the study was whether the people in the study died during the study (D) or not die (Dc ).

The probability that a light smoker died during the study was twice that of the probability of a non-smoker dying. Also, the probability that light smoker died during the study was half that of the probability of a heavy smoker dying.

A randomly selected person from the study died during the study. What is the probability that this person was a heavy smoker (given they died, what is the probability they were a heavy smoker H)?

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