Suppose that a factory has two machines, Machine A and Machine B, both producing jPhone touch screens. Forty percent of their touch screens come from Machine A and 60% of their touch screens come from Machine B. Ten percent of the touch screens produced by Machine A are defective and five percent of the touch screens from Machine B are defective. If I randomly choose a touch screen from those produced by both machines and find that it is defective, what is the probability that it came from machine A?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Suppose that a factory has two machines, Machine A and Machine B, both producing jPhone touch screens. Forty percent of their touch screens come from Machine A and 60% of their touch screens come from Machine B. Ten percent of the touch screens produced by Machine A are defective and five percent of the touch screens from Machine B are defective. If I randomly choose a touch screen from those produced by both machines and find that it is defective, what is the probability that it came from machine A?

 

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