Suppose that 16% of crimes end up in criminal charges. The district has a false conviction rate of 5% (meaning the subject was charged but did not commit the crime) and failed to charge at a rate of 10% ( meaning the person committed the crime but was not charged). If a randomly chosen suspect was charged, what is the chance that the suspect actually committed the crime? Create a tree diagram based on the information above. 1. What is the probability that a randomly chosen suspect actually committed the crime? 2. What is the probability that a randomly selected suspect was not charged, given they actually committed the crime? 3. What is the probability that a randomly chosen suspect was charged given they did not commit the crime? Explain why it makes sense for this probability to be less than the one in the previous question

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Suppose that 16% of crimes end up in criminal charges. The district has a false conviction rate of 5% (meaning the subject was charged but did not commit the crime) and failed to charge at a rate of 10% ( meaning the person committed the crime but was not charged). If a randomly chosen suspect was charged, what is the chance that the suspect actually committed the crime?

Create a tree diagram based on the information above.

1. What is the probability that a randomly chosen suspect actually committed the crime?

2. What is the probability that a randomly selected suspect was not charged, given they actually committed the crime?

3. What is the probability that a randomly chosen suspect was charged given they did not commit the crime? Explain why it makes sense for this probability to be less than the one in the previous question.

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