Suppose a Markov Chain has transition matrix % 4 % 4 % 4 % 4 If the system starts in state 3, what is the probability that it goes to state 4 on the next observation, and then goes to state 2 on the following observation? (A) %4 (B) %1 (C) %4 (D) 16 (E) 32 (F) ¼ (G) %2 (H) %

Suppose a Markov Chain has transition matrix % 4 % 4 % 4 % 4 If the system starts in state 3, what is the probability that it goes to state 4 on the next observation, and then goes to state 2 on the following observation? (A) %4 (B) %1 (C) %4 (D) 16 (E) 32 (F) ¼ (G) %2 (H) %

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)

10th Edition

ISBN:9780134753119

Author:Sheldon Ross

Publisher:Sheldon Ross

Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...

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Question 1.16.2 (Markov chains, Part IB, 1991, 307D) Three girls A, B and C are playing table tennis. In each game, two of the girls play against each other and the third girl does not play. The winner of any given game n plays again in game n + 1. The probability that girl x will beat girl y in any game that they play against each other is sx/(Sx+Sy) for x, y = {A,B,C}, x‡y, where sa, SB, SC represent the playing strengths of the three girls. In what proportion of games does each girl play, in the long run?
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Central topic markov chains: Every summer the Yates de los Lagos owners association decides if its annual regatta will be held in June, July or August. If it takes place in June, the probability of good weather is ¾; and if these conditions exist, the regatta of the next year it will be done in June with probability 2/3, in July with probability 1/6 or in August with probability 1/6; but if there is bad weather, next year's regatta will take place in July or August with equal probabilities. If the competition is held in July, good and bad weather have equal probabilities; if there is good weather, the next year's regatta will be held in July; If there is bad weather, the next regatta will take place in August with probability of 2/3 or in June with probability of 1/3. If the regatta takes place in August, the probability of good weather is 2/5; and if there are good conditions atmospheric conditions, next year's regatta will take place in July or August, with equal probabilities; but…
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For the attached Markov chain with the following transition probability matrix: The Markov chain has only one recurrent class. Determine the period of this recurrent class.
In an office complex of 1000 employees, on any given day some are at work and the rest are absent. It is known that if an employee is at work today, there is an 85% chance that she will be at work tomorrow, and if the employee is absent today, there is a 70% chance that she will be absent tomorrow. Suppose that today there are 740 employees at work. (A graphing calculator is recommended.) (a) Find the transition matrix A for this scenario. at work absent A = (b) Predict the number that will be at work five days from now. (Round your answer to the nearest integer.) employees (c) Find the steady-state vector x. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
ne bets $1. 0.45, he wins the game and with probability 1 - p = 0.55, he loses the game. His goal is to increase his capital to $3, and as soon as he does, the game is over. The game is also over if his capital is reduced to zero. Construct an absorbing Markov chain and answer the following questions. • What is the expected duration of the game? • What is the probability that he goes broke?
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A Markov chain has the transition matrix shown below: 0.2 0.1 0.7] P = 0.6 0.4 1 (Note: For questions 1, 3, and 5, express your answers as decimal fractions rounded to 4 decimal places (if they have more than 4 decimal places).) (1) If, on the first observation the system is in state 1, what is the probability that it is in state 1 on the next observation? (2) If, on the first observation the system is in state 1, what state is the system most likely to occupy on the next observation? (If there is more than one such state, which is the first one.) (3) If, on the first observation, the system is in state 1, what is the probability that the system is in state 1 on the third observation? ...
TOPIC: MARKOV CHAINSThe time variation from one day to the next is assumed to form a Markov chain, with the transition matrixfollowing:[table]Given that today Sunday is cloudy, what is the probability that Wednesday will be sunny?
3. (a) A Markov process with 2 states is used to model the weather in a certain town. State 1 corresponds to a suny day. State 2 corresponds to a rainy day. The transition matrix for this Markov process is [0.7 0.4] 0.3 0.6 %3D (i) If today is rainy, what is the probability that tomorrow will be sunny? (ii) Find the steady state probability vector. (iii) In the long run, how many days a week are sunny?
Suppose a Markov Chain has transition matrix % 0 % % If the system starts in state 3, what is the probability that it goes to state 2 on the next observation, and then goes to state 4 on the following observation? (A) 24 (B) 1 (C) 4 (D) ½24 (E) % (F) %32 (G) 0 (H) %