Redo exercises 21 through 23 in section 8.2 of your textbook, about the three types of employment in a small town, using the following data:

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Redo exercises 21 through 23 in section 8.2 of your textbook, about the three types of employment in a small town, using the following data:

### Employment Transition Data

The table below presents employment transitions from last year to this year, along with the percentage of individuals transitioning between different employment states. The states are categorized as Industry, Small Business, and Self-Employed.

| Employment Last Year | Employment This Year | Percentage |
|----------------------|----------------------|------------|
| Industry             | Industry             | 60%        |
| Industry             | Small Business       | 10%        |
| Industry             | Self-Employed        | 30%        |
| Small Business       | Industry             | 10%        |
| Small Business       | Small Business       | 40%        |
| Small Business       | Self-Employed        | 50%        |
| Self-Employed        | Industry             | 20%        |
| Self-Employed        | Small Business       | 20%        |
| Self-Employed        | Self-Employed        | 60%        |

### Assumptions:

- **State 1** is **Industry**
- **State 2** is **Small Business**
- **State 3** is **Self-Employed**

#### Note:
When answering related questions, express your answers as decimal fractions rounded to 4 decimal places if they extend beyond four decimal places.
Transcribed Image Text:### Employment Transition Data The table below presents employment transitions from last year to this year, along with the percentage of individuals transitioning between different employment states. The states are categorized as Industry, Small Business, and Self-Employed. | Employment Last Year | Employment This Year | Percentage | |----------------------|----------------------|------------| | Industry | Industry | 60% | | Industry | Small Business | 10% | | Industry | Self-Employed | 30% | | Small Business | Industry | 10% | | Small Business | Small Business | 40% | | Small Business | Self-Employed | 50% | | Self-Employed | Industry | 20% | | Self-Employed | Small Business | 20% | | Self-Employed | Self-Employed | 60% | ### Assumptions: - **State 1** is **Industry** - **State 2** is **Small Business** - **State 3** is **Self-Employed** #### Note: When answering related questions, express your answers as decimal fractions rounded to 4 decimal places if they extend beyond four decimal places.
**Markov Process Transition Matrix Exercises**

**(1) Find the transition matrix for this Markov process.**

The transition matrix \( P \) is structured as follows:

\[
P = 
\begin{bmatrix}
\text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} \\
\text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} \\
\text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]}
\end{bmatrix}
\]

**(2) Find the two-step transition matrix \( P(2) \):**

The two-step transition matrix \( P(2) \) is given by:

\[
P(2) =
\begin{bmatrix}
\text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} \\
\text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} \\
\text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]}
\end{bmatrix}
\]

**(3) What is the probability that an individual employed in industry at one time is employed in small business 2 years later?**

\[
\text{[cell]}
\]

**(4) If an individual is self-employed this year, what is her most likely employment status 2 years from now?**

Provide the number of the state rather than its description in words. If there is more than one such state, choose the first one.

\[
\text{[cell]}
\]

**(5) If an individual would like to be self-employed 2 years from now, what current employment status would give her the greatest likelihood of achieving her goal?**

Provide the number of the state rather than its description in words. If there is more than one such state, choose the first one.

\[
\text{[cell]}
\]
Transcribed Image Text:**Markov Process Transition Matrix Exercises** **(1) Find the transition matrix for this Markov process.** The transition matrix \( P \) is structured as follows: \[ P = \begin{bmatrix} \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} \\ \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} \\ \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} \end{bmatrix} \] **(2) Find the two-step transition matrix \( P(2) \):** The two-step transition matrix \( P(2) \) is given by: \[ P(2) = \begin{bmatrix} \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} \\ \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} \\ \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} & \text{[cell]} \end{bmatrix} \] **(3) What is the probability that an individual employed in industry at one time is employed in small business 2 years later?** \[ \text{[cell]} \] **(4) If an individual is self-employed this year, what is her most likely employment status 2 years from now?** Provide the number of the state rather than its description in words. If there is more than one such state, choose the first one. \[ \text{[cell]} \] **(5) If an individual would like to be self-employed 2 years from now, what current employment status would give her the greatest likelihood of achieving her goal?** Provide the number of the state rather than its description in words. If there is more than one such state, choose the first one. \[ \text{[cell]} \]
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