Records of a university (collected over many years) show that on the average 74 percent of all incoming fresh-men have I.Q.’s of at least 115. Of course, the percentage varies somewhat from year to year, and this variation is measured by a standard deviation of 3 percent. If a sam-ple check of 30 freshmen entering the university in 2003 showed that only 18 of them have I.Q.’s of at least 115,estimate the true proportion of students with I.Q.’s of atleast 115 in that freshman class using(a) only the prior information;(b) only the direct information; (c) the result of Exercise 74 to combine the prior infor-mation with the direct information.

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Records of a university (collected over many years)

show that on the average 74 percent of all incoming fresh-
men have I.Q.’s of at least 115. Of course, the percentage

varies somewhat from year to year, and this variation is

measured by a standard deviation of 3 percent. If a sam-
ple check of 30 freshmen entering the university in 2003

showed that only 18 of them have I.Q.’s of at least 115,
estimate the true proportion of students with I.Q.’s of at
least 115 in that freshman class using
(a) only the prior information;
(b) only the direct information;

(c) the result of Exercise 74 to combine the prior infor-
mation with the direct information.

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