Recall that on a one-year Treasury security the yield is 5.8400% and 7.0080% on a two-year Treasury security. Suppose the one-year security does not have a maturity risk premium, but the two-year security does and it is 0.5%. What is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)   7.1802%   8.1854%   6.1032%   9.1189%

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Treasury Market

On-the-run securities are the most recently issued securities in the market depth and are therefore traded at some premium. The off-the-run securities are the ones issued just before the most recent ones. The on-the-run securities have a lower yield to the investor than the off-the-run securities.