Forecasting Interest Rates On May 23, 20XX, the existing or current (spot) one-year, two-year, three-year, and four-year zero-coupon Treasury security rates were as follows:1R1 = 5.60%, 1R2 = 6.10%, 1R3 = 6.60%, 1R4 = 6.80%Using the unbiased expectations theory, what is the one-year forward rate on zero-coupon Treasury bonds for year four as ofMay 23, 20XX

As per unbiased expectations theory, current interest rates can be predicted using future short term…

Answered: Forecasting Interest Rates On May 23,…

Essentials Of Investments

11th Edition

ISBN:9781260013924

Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.

Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.

Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1PS

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A one year zero coupon treasury bond yields 4.83% and a two year zero coupon treasury yields 4.88%. What is the expected 1 year interest rate 1 year from now, assuming no-arbitrage pricing and no liquidity premium? Enter answer in percents to 2 decimal places. For example, enter 14.15 for 14.15%.
Interest rates on 4-year Treasury securities are currently 6.2%, while 6-year Treasury securities yield 8.05%. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what does the market believe that 2-year securities will be yielding 4 years from now? Calculate the yield using a geometric average. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places. %
Based on economists' forecasts and analysis, 1-year Treasury bill rates and liquidity premiums for the next four years are expected to be as follows: R₁ = 0.55% R1 E(21) = 1.70% = 42 = 0.08% E(31) 1.80% 43 = L4= 0.12% 0.14% = E(41) 2.10% Using the liquidity premium theory, determine the current (long-term) rates. Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your percentage answers to 2 decimal places (i.e., 0.1234 should be entered as 12.34). Current (Long-term) Rates Years 1 % 2 % 3 % 4 5 %
The real risk-free rate is 2.15%. Inflation is expected to be 3.15% this year, 4.35% next year, and 2.6% thereafter. The maturity risk premium is estimated to be 0.05 × (t - 1)%, where t = number of years to maturity. What is the yield on a 7-year Treasury note? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places. %
Interest rates on 4-year Treasury securities are currently 5.4%, while 6-year Treasury securities yield 7.85%. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what does the market believe that 2-year securities will be yielding 4 years from now? Calculate the yield using a geometric average. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.
Based on economists' forecasts and analysis, 1-year Treasury bill rates and liquidity premiums for the next four years are expected to be as follows: R1 = 0.80% = 1.95% E(201) E(3r1) E(41) = 2.05% = 2.35% Years 1 2 3 4 42= 0.07% 43= 0.11% L4= 0.13% Using the liquidity premium theory, determine the current (long-term) rates. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) Current (Long-term) Rates % % % %
One-year Treasury securities yield 2.85%. The market anticipates that 1 year from now, 1-year Treasury securities will yield 3.4%. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield today for 2-year Treasury securities? Calculate the yield using a geometric average. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places. %
Recall that on a one-year Treasury security the yield is 4.0000% and 5.4000% on a two-year Treasury security. Suppose the one-year security does not have a maturity risk premium, but the two-year security does and it is 0.4%. What is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.) 6.8509% 6.0096% 7.6322% 5.1082%
Suppose that the current 1-year rate (1-year spot rate) and expected 1-year T-bill rates over the following three years (I.e., years 2, 3, and 4, respectively) are as follows: 1R1 = 1%, E(211) = 4.30%, E(31) = 4.80%, E471) = 6.30% Using the unblased expectations theory, calculate the current (longterm) rates for 1-, 2-, 3-, and 4-year-maturity Treasury securities. Plot the resulting yield curve. (Do not round Intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) Year 1234 Current (Long-term) Rates %
We observe the following treasury yields on a particular day: one-year 1.50%, two-year 2.25%, and three year 3.25%. If two-year term premium is 0.25%, on that day what did investors expect one-year interest rate to be next year?Group of answer choices a)1.875% b)2.5% c)2.375% d)2.25%
A recent edition of The Wall Street Journal reported interest rates of 3.25 percent, 3.60 percent, 3.98 percent, and 4.25 percent for 3-, 4-, 5-, and 6-year Treasury security yields, respectively. According to the unbiased expectation theory of the term structure of interest rates, what are the expected 1-year forward rates for years 4, 5, and 6? Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your percentage answers to 2 decimal places (i.e., 0.1234 should be entered as 12.34). Years 4 5 6 () Forward Rates % % %
The real risk-free rate is 2.75%. Inflation is expected to be 3.75% this year, 4.25% next year, and 2.5% thereafter. The maturity risk premium is estimated to be 0.05 x (t-1) %, where t- number of years to maturity. What is the yield on a 7-year Treasury note? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places. %

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