ractice Problem: Usins the data on a hospital’s revenue: (1) Use simple exponential smoothing to make predictions for the hospital’s revenues during the next four quarters with α = 0.30.   (2) Use Trend-Adjusted Exponential Smoothing(i.e. Holt’s method) to make forecasts for the hospital’s revenues during the next four quarters. Assume α = 0.05, β = 0.65, initial revenue forecast = 1209285.75 and initial trend forecast = 15714.   (3) Using least-squares regression with seasonal index decomposing method, forecast the hospital’s revenues during the next four quarters.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
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Practice Problem:

Usins the data on a hospital’s revenue:

(1) Use simple exponential smoothing to make predictions for the hospital’s revenues during the next four quarters with α = 0.30.

 

(2) Use Trend-Adjusted Exponential Smoothing(i.e. Holt’s method) to make forecasts for the hospital’s revenues during the next four quarters. Assume α = 0.05, β = 0.65, initial revenue forecast = 1209285.75 and initial trend forecast = 15714.

 

(3) Using least-squares regression with seasonal index decomposing method, forecast the hospital’s revenues during the next four quarters.

 

Quarter
Revenue
$1,200,000
$880,000
$1,800,000
$1,050,000
$1,700,000
1
2
3
4
5
$350,000
$2,500,000
$760,000
6
$2,300,000
$1,000,000
$1,570,000
$2,430,000
$1,320,000
$1,400,000
$1,890,000
$3,200,000
$2,200,000
$1,440,000
$4,000,000
$4,100,000
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Transcribed Image Text:Quarter Revenue $1,200,000 $880,000 $1,800,000 $1,050,000 $1,700,000 1 2 3 4 5 $350,000 $2,500,000 $760,000 6 $2,300,000 $1,000,000 $1,570,000 $2,430,000 $1,320,000 $1,400,000 $1,890,000 $3,200,000 $2,200,000 $1,440,000 $4,000,000 $4,100,000 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
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