Questions 1, 2 and 3 are based on the following table. In the following table of costs, n1 and n2 are the states of nature, and a1, a2 and a3 are your decision alternatives:      n1 n2 a1 5    3 a2 1    4 a3 2    k Q.1. Suppose k = 6. If n1 occurs with probability p, If n1 occurs with probability p, for what values of p will a3 be the best decision alternative based on expected values, for what values of p will a1 be the best and for what values of p will a2 be the best? Q.2. Suppose n1 occurs with probability p. For what all values of k is a3 always better than a1 (based on expected values)? Q.3. What is the EVPI?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Questions 1, 2 and 3 are based on the following table. In the following table of costs, n1 and n2 are the states of nature, and a1, a2 and a3 are your decision alternatives:
     n1 n2
a1 5    3
a2 1    4
a3 2    k

Q.1. Suppose k = 6. If n1 occurs with probability p, If n1 occurs with probability p, for what values of p will a3 be the best decision alternative based on expected values, for what values of p will a1 be the best and for what values of p will a2 be the best?


Q.2. Suppose n1 occurs with probability p. For what all values of k is a3 always better than a1 (based on expected values)?


Q.3. What is the EVPI?

 

 

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