QUESTION 3 Continue to use the information from Question 1. Taylor Swift is a woman with 16 years of schooling. Predict the probability that the government will employ her using the estimated Probit model with the interaction term of the gender dummy and years of schooling. Report your answer (a value between 0 and 1) to two decimal places. You can use any of pnorm in R or the z-tables in the Quizzes folder.

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QUESTION 1
Questions 1-4 are based on the following scenario:
700 income-earning individuals from a district were randomly selected and asked whether they were employed by the government (Gov = 1) or failed their entrance test (Gov = 0); data were also collected on
their gender (Male = 1) if male and = 0 if female) and their years of schooling (Schooling, in years). The following table summarizes several estimated models. (Standard errors are in parentheses).
Dependent Variable: Gov
Linear
Linear
Probit
Logit
Probability
Probit
Logit
Probability
Probit
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
Schooling
0.272
0.551
0.035
0.548
(0.029)
(0.062)
(0.003)
(0.091)
Male
-0.242
-0.455
-0.050
4.352
(0.125)
(0.234)
(0.025)
(1.291)
Male x Schooling
-344
(0.096)
-4.107
(0.358)
Constant
-8.146
-0.172
-1.027
-1.717
0.152
-7.702
(0.800)
(0.027)
(0.098)
(0.179)
(0.021)
(1.238)
Choose the correct statement:
O a. The large difference between the estimates in column (1) and the ones in column (2) implies that predicted probabilities would be highly sensitive to whether the Logit model is employed or the Probit
model is employed.
O b. Column (1) suggests that the government would hire a job candidate with 16 years of education with 24.5% probability, i.e., 0.245 = 0.272 X 16 - 4.107.
O C. Column (2) suggests that the government would hire a job candidate with 16 years of education with 67.0% probability, i.e., 0.670 = 0.551 X 16 - 8.146.
O d. Column (3) suggests that the government would hire a job candidate with 16 years of education with 38.8% probability, i.e., 0.388 = 0.035 X 16 - 0.172.
O e. Column (4) suggests that the government would not hire anyone because the estimated coefficients are all negative.
Transcribed Image Text:QUESTION 1 Questions 1-4 are based on the following scenario: 700 income-earning individuals from a district were randomly selected and asked whether they were employed by the government (Gov = 1) or failed their entrance test (Gov = 0); data were also collected on their gender (Male = 1) if male and = 0 if female) and their years of schooling (Schooling, in years). The following table summarizes several estimated models. (Standard errors are in parentheses). Dependent Variable: Gov Linear Linear Probit Logit Probability Probit Logit Probability Probit (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) Schooling 0.272 0.551 0.035 0.548 (0.029) (0.062) (0.003) (0.091) Male -0.242 -0.455 -0.050 4.352 (0.125) (0.234) (0.025) (1.291) Male x Schooling -344 (0.096) -4.107 (0.358) Constant -8.146 -0.172 -1.027 -1.717 0.152 -7.702 (0.800) (0.027) (0.098) (0.179) (0.021) (1.238) Choose the correct statement: O a. The large difference between the estimates in column (1) and the ones in column (2) implies that predicted probabilities would be highly sensitive to whether the Logit model is employed or the Probit model is employed. O b. Column (1) suggests that the government would hire a job candidate with 16 years of education with 24.5% probability, i.e., 0.245 = 0.272 X 16 - 4.107. O C. Column (2) suggests that the government would hire a job candidate with 16 years of education with 67.0% probability, i.e., 0.670 = 0.551 X 16 - 8.146. O d. Column (3) suggests that the government would hire a job candidate with 16 years of education with 38.8% probability, i.e., 0.388 = 0.035 X 16 - 0.172. O e. Column (4) suggests that the government would not hire anyone because the estimated coefficients are all negative.
QUESTION 3
Continue to use the information from Question 1.
Taylor Swift is a woman with 16 years of schooling. Predict the probability that the government will employ her using the estimated Probit model with the interaction term of the gender dummy and years of
schooling. Report your answer (a value between 0 and 1) to two decimal places. You can use any of pnorm in R or the z-tables in the Quizzes folder.
Transcribed Image Text:QUESTION 3 Continue to use the information from Question 1. Taylor Swift is a woman with 16 years of schooling. Predict the probability that the government will employ her using the estimated Probit model with the interaction term of the gender dummy and years of schooling. Report your answer (a value between 0 and 1) to two decimal places. You can use any of pnorm in R or the z-tables in the Quizzes folder.
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