QUESTION 15 Suppose that five balls, numbered 1 through 5, will be sequentially drawn (without replacement) from an urn at random (with all balls remaining in the urn being equally likely to be drawn each time). If a success is said to occur if the number obtained on draw i is the largest of the i numbers drawn so far, what is the expected number of times a success will occur on the five draws? Suggestion: Use a random variable which is a sum of simple indicator random variables, and use symmetry to obtain the necessary probabilities.

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QUESTION 15
Suppose that five balls, numbered 1 through 5, will be sequentially drawn (without replacement) from an urn at random (with all balls remaining in the urn being
equally likely to be drawn each time). If a success is said to occur if the number obtained on draw i is the largest of the i numbers drawn so far, what is the
expected number of times a success will occur on the five draws?
Suggestion: Use a random variable which is a sum of simple indicator random variàbles, and use symmetry to obtain the necessary probabilities.
Transcribed Image Text:QUESTION 15 Suppose that five balls, numbered 1 through 5, will be sequentially drawn (without replacement) from an urn at random (with all balls remaining in the urn being equally likely to be drawn each time). If a success is said to occur if the number obtained on draw i is the largest of the i numbers drawn so far, what is the expected number of times a success will occur on the five draws? Suggestion: Use a random variable which is a sum of simple indicator random variàbles, and use symmetry to obtain the necessary probabilities.
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