Question 1 You have a 4-sided die with sides numbered from 1 to 4. You perform the following experiment: • You roll the 4-sided die and record the number. • If you recorded a 2, 3 or a 4, the experiment ends. • If you recorded a 1, you roll the die a second time, record the second number as well, and the experiment ends. Assume that the die is fair, and that rolls are independent. Let N be the number of rolls, and X the sum of all recorded numbers. a) Define the sample space S of the experiment. b) Find the probability mass function (pmf) px(x) for X. c) Find P[N = 1|X = 3] and P[N = 2|X = 3]. %3D %3D

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Question 1 You have a 4-sided die with sides numbered from 1 to 4. You perform the
following experiment:
• You roll the 4-sided die and record the number.
• If you recorded a 2, 3 or a 4, the experiment ends.
• If you recorded a 1, you roll the die a second time, record the second number as
well, and the experiment ends.
Assume that the die is fair, and that rolls are independent.
Let N be the number of rolls, and X the sum of all recorded numbers.
a) Define the sample space S of the experiment.
b) Find the probability mass function (pmf) px(x) for X.
c) Find P[N = 1|X = 3] and P[N = 2|X = 3].
%3D
Transcribed Image Text:Question 1 You have a 4-sided die with sides numbered from 1 to 4. You perform the following experiment: • You roll the 4-sided die and record the number. • If you recorded a 2, 3 or a 4, the experiment ends. • If you recorded a 1, you roll the die a second time, record the second number as well, and the experiment ends. Assume that the die is fair, and that rolls are independent. Let N be the number of rolls, and X the sum of all recorded numbers. a) Define the sample space S of the experiment. b) Find the probability mass function (pmf) px(x) for X. c) Find P[N = 1|X = 3] and P[N = 2|X = 3]. %3D
Question 2 Alice has a coin that flips heads with probability p. She flips the coin n > 0
times (assume the flips are independent).
If exactly k of the n flips are heads, she wins $1. Otherwise she wins nothing.
a) If 0 < k < n, what should p be to maximize Alice's expected winnings?
b) If k = n, what should p be to maximize Alice's expected winnings? Explain why
this answer makes sense.
Transcribed Image Text:Question 2 Alice has a coin that flips heads with probability p. She flips the coin n > 0 times (assume the flips are independent). If exactly k of the n flips are heads, she wins $1. Otherwise she wins nothing. a) If 0 < k < n, what should p be to maximize Alice's expected winnings? b) If k = n, what should p be to maximize Alice's expected winnings? Explain why this answer makes sense.
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