Qnl. Maximize the objective function Z= 4X, +3x, +5X, using Two- Phase method. Given below a particular stage of the iteration tableau of Phase I of the problem after changing the function of the sum of artificial variables to Maximization. Find the maximum value of LPP and find the optimum solutions. Ci -1 -1 Basic

Qnl. Maximize the objective function Z= 4X, +3x, +5X, using Two- Phase method. Given below a particular stage of the iteration tableau of Phase I of the problem after changing the function of the sum of artificial variables to Maximization. Find the maximum value of LPP and find the optimum solutions. Ci -1 -1 Basic

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Section9.5: Multistage Decision Problems

Problem 21P

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Based on Babich (1992). Suppose that each week each of 300 families buys a gallon of orange juice from company A, B, or C. Let pA denote the probability that a gallon produced by company A is of unsatisfactory quality, and define pB and pC similarly for companies B and C. If the last gallon of juice purchased by a family is satisfactory, the next week they will purchase a gallon of juice from the same company. If the last gallon of juice purchased by a family is not satisfactory, the family will purchase a gallon from a competitor. Consider a week in which A families have purchased juice A, B families have purchased juice B, and C families have purchased juice C. Assume that families that switch brands during a period are allocated to the remaining brands in a manner that is proportional to the current market shares of the other brands. For example, if a customer switches from brand A, there is probability B/(B + C) that he will switch to brand B and probability C/(B + C) that he will switch to brand C. Suppose that the market is currently divided equally: 10,000 families for each of the three brands. a. After a year, what will the market share for each firm be? Assume pA = 0.10, pB = 0.15, and pC = 0.20. (Hint: You will need to use the RISKBINOMLAL function to see how many people switch from A and then use the RISKBENOMIAL function again to see how many switch from A to B and from A to C. However, if your model requires more RISKBINOMIAL functions than the number allowed in the academic version of @RISK, remember that you can instead use the BENOM.INV (or the old CRITBENOM) function to generate binomially distributed random numbers. This takes the form =BINOM.INV (ntrials, psuccess, RAND()).) b. Suppose a 1% increase in market share is worth 10,000 per week to company A. Company A believes that for a cost of 1 million per year it can cut the percentage of unsatisfactory juice cartons in half. Is this worthwhile? (Use the same values of pA, pB, and pC as in part a.)
Suppose that Pizza King and Noble Greek stopadvertising but must determine the price they will chargefor each pizza sold. Pizza King believes that Noble Greek’sprice is a random variable D having the following massfunction: P(D $6) .25, P(D $8) .50, P(D $10) .25. If Pizza King charges a price p1 and NobleGreek charges a price p2, Pizza King will sell 10025( p2 p1) pizzas. It costs Pizza King $4 to make a pizza.Pizza King is considering charging $5, $6, $7, $8, or $9 fora pizza. Use each decision criterion of this section todetermine the price that Pizza King should charge.
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If X1, X2, ... , Xn constitute a random sample from apopulation with the mean μ, what condition must beimposed on the constants a1, a2, ... , an so thata1X1 + a2X2 +···+ anXnis an unbiased estimator of μ?
An urn contains 10 red balls and 30 blue balls.a Suppose you draw 4 balls from the urn. Let Xi bethe number of red balls drawn on the ith ball (Xi 0 or1). After each ball is drawn, it is put back into the urn. Are the random variables X1, X2, X3, and X4 indepen-dent random variables? b Repeat part (a) for the case in which the balls are notput back in the urn after being drawn.
Bad simulations Explain why each of the followingsimulations fails to model the real situation properly:a) Use a random integer from 0 through 9 to representthe number of heads when 9 coins are tossed. b) A basketball player takes a foul shot. Look at a ran-dom digit, using an odd digit to represent a good shot and an even digit to represent a miss.c) Use random numbers from 1 through 13 to represent thedenominations of the cards in a five-card poker hand.
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andrew thomas , a sandwich vendor at hard rock cafe 's annual rockfest, created a table of conditional values for various alternatives adn states of nature: alternatives big average small large stock $22,000 $12,000 -$2,000 average stock $14,000 $10,000 $6,000 small stock $9,000 $8,000 $4,000 the probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.3 for a big demand, 0.5 for an anverage demand, and 0.2 for a small demand. a) determine the alternative that provides andrew the greatest expected monetary value (EMV). b) compute the expected value of perfect information (EVPI).
A manufacturer of programmable calculators is attempting to determine a reasonable free-service period for a model it will introduce shortly. The manager of product testing has indicated that the calculators have an expected life of 30 months. Assume product life can be described by an exponential distribution. T / MTBF e-T /MTBF T / MTBF e-T /MTBF T / MTBF e-T /MTBF 0.10 0.9048 2.60 0.0743 5.10 0.0061 0.20 0.8187 2.70 0.0672 5.20 0.0055 0.30 0.7408 2.80 0.0608 5.30 0.0050 0.40 0.6703 2.90 0.0550 5.40 0.0045 0.50 0.6065 3.00 0.0498 5.50 0.0041 0.60 0.5488 3.10 0.0450 5.60 0.0037 0.70 0.4966 3.20 0.0408 5.70 0.0033 0.80 0.4493 3.30 0.0369 5.80 0.0030 0.90 0.4066 3.40 0.0334 5.90 0.0027 1.00 0.3679 3.50 0.0302 6.00 0.0025 1.10 0.3329 3.60 0.0273 6.10 0.0022 1.20 0.3012 3.70 0.0247 6.20 0.0020 1.30 0.2725 3.80 0.0224 6.30 0.0018 1.40 0.2466 3.90 0.0202 6.40 0.0017 1.50 0.2231 4.00 0.0183 6.50 0.0015 1.60 0.2019 4.10 0.0166 6.60 0.0014 1.70 0.1827 4.20…
The pendulum of a clock consists of a mass of 0.20 kg hanging from a thin rod. The amplitude of the pendulum swing is 3.0 cm. The clock is driven by a weight of mass 4.5 kg that falls a distance of 0.95 m over a period of 8 days. Assuming the pendulum to be a simple pendulum of length 0.75 m, Find the Q-value of the clock. (Assume g = 9.81 ms2.)
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STAR Co. provides paper to smaller companies whose volumes are not large enough to warran paper rolls from the mill and cuts the rolls into smaller rolls of widths 12, 15, and 30 feet. The cutting patterns have been established: 1 2 Pattern 12ft. 15ft. 30ft. Trim Loss 0 4 1 10 ft. 3 0 7 ft. 8 0 0 4 ft. 2 1 2 1 ft. 5 2 3 1 1 ft. Trim loss is the leftover paper from a pattern (e.g., for pattern 4, 2(12)+1(15) + 2(30) = 99 hand for the coming week are 5,670 12-foot rolls, 1,680 15-foot rolls, and 3,350 30-foot rolls. hand will be sold on the open market at the selling price. No inventory is held. Number of: 3