Q4: The following time series shows the annual production of a factory:2009 2008 2007 2006 200Sthe year1712 954annual productionRequired: Draw a trend line using moving averages method (cyclelength is three years)

A moving average is a method of data analysis that involves calculating the averages of different…

Answered: Q4: The following time series shows the…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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Exercise Torecast CIT ▷ Complete the table Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 Forecast demand 700 760 780 790 850 950 Actual demand 660 840 750 835 910 890 ▷ What is MAD? MAPE? TS? Deviation RSFE (Cumulative sum of forecast errors) MAD (Mean absolute deviation) APE (absolute % error) +
Rosa's Italian restaurant wants to develop forecasts of daily demand for the next week. The restaurant is closed on Mondays and experiences a seasonal pattern for the other six days of the week. Mario, the manager, has collected information on the number of customers served each day for the past two weeks. If Mario expects total demand for next week to be around 336, what is the forecast for each day of next week? (Round intermediate calculations to 4 decimal places, e.g. 1.2645 and final answers to 1 decimal place, e.g. 15.2.)
q1- Daily highs in Sacramento for the past week (from least to most recent) were: 95, 102, 101, 96, 95, 90 and 92. Develop a forecast for today using a weighted moving average, with weights of .6, .3 and .1, where the highest weights are applied to the most recent dataq2- Consider the following demand and forecast. Period Demand Forecast 1 7 10 2 12 15 3 18 20 4 22 If MAD = 2, what is the forecast for period 4? Answer 21 22 23 none of the aboveq3- A normal distribution has a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 50. A manager wants to simulate one value from this distribution, and has drawn the number 1.4 randomly. What is the simulated value?Q4- The local operations manager for the IRS must decide whether to hire 1, 2, or 3 temporary workers. He estimates that net revenues will vary with how well taxpayers comply with the new tax code. The following payoff table is given in thousands of dollars (e.g. 50 = $50,000). If he thinks the chances of low, medium, and high compliance are…
Data collected on the yearly registrations for a Six Sigma seminar at the Quality College are shown in the following table: Year -1 2 Registrations (000) 5.0 5.0 Year Forecast 4 4.3 This exercise contains only parts a and b. a) Using a 3-year moving average, the forecasted registrations (in thousands) for years 4 through 12 are (round your responses to one decimal place): 5 4.6 4 3 3.0 5 6 6.6 7 8 4 5 6 9 10 6.0 11.0 9.0 7.0 9.0 13.0 16.0 6 7 8.7 8 9 7 9 8.3 b) Using a 3-year weighted moving average in which the registrations in the most recent year are given a weight of 2, and registrations in the other 2 years are each given a weight of 1, the forecasted registrations (in thousands) for years 4 through 12 are (round your responses to one decimal place): Year Forecast 8 10 9.6 9 11 12.6 10 12 15.3 11 11 17.0 12
Plz 100% correct solution needed.
Figure shows summer air visibility measurements for Denver, Colorado. The acceptable visibility standard is 100, with readings above 100 indicating clean air and good visibility, and readings below 100 indicating temperature inversions caused by forest fires, volcanic eruptions, or collisions with comets.a. Is a trend evident in the data? Which time-series techniques might be appropriate for estimating the average of these data?b. A medical center for asthma and respiratory diseases located in Denver has great demand for its services when air quality is poor. If you were in charge of developing a short-term (say, 3-day) forecast of visibility, which causal factor(s) would you analyze? In other words, which external factors hold the potential to significantly affect visibility in the short term?c. Tourism, an important factor in Denver’s economy, is affected by the city’s image. Air quality, as measured by visibility, affects the city’s image. If you were responsible for development of…
10. Lenovo uses the ZX-81 chip in some of its laptop computers. The prices for the chip during the last 4 months were as follows: Month Price Per Chip January $1.85 February $1.61 March $1.63 April $1.83 This exercise contains only parts a, b, and c. Part 2 a) Using a 2-month moving average, calculate the forecast for March and April (round your responses to two decimal places). Month Mar Apr Forecast $________ $________
Need help with the forecast for year 10. Linear trend line
Please solve this
Forecast Including TrendAssume a previous forecast, including a trend of 110 units, a previous trend estimate of 10 units, an alpha of .20, and a delta of .30. If actual demand turned out to be 115 rather than the forecast 110, calculate the forecast for the next period.
Subpart A : Moving constant = 0.30
Pls solve this question correctly instantly in 5 min i will give u 3 like for sure

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Q4: The following time series shows the annual production of a factory: 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 the year 17 12 9 5 4 annual production Required: Drawa trend line using moving averages method (cycle |length is three years)