Q. 1 Suppose that 4.5% of all adults over 50 have cancer. A certair physician correctly diagnoses 94% of all adults over 50 with cance as having the disease and incorrectly diagnoses 4% of all adults ove 50 without cancer as having the disease. (i) Draw a tree diagram and label it with appropriate probabilities. (ii) Find the probability that a randomly-selected adult over 50 i diagnosed as not having cancer. (iii) Find the probability that a randomly-selected adult over 50 actually has cancer, given that he/she is diagnosed as not having cancer

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
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Q. 1 Suppose that 4.5% of all adults over 50 have cancer. A certain
physician correctly diagnoses 94% of all adults over 50 with cancer
as having the disease and incorrectly diagnoses 4% of all adults over
50 without cancer as having the disease.
(i) Draw a tree diagram and label it with appropriate probabilities.
(ii) Find the probability that a randomly-selected adult over 50 is
diagnosed as not having cancer.
(iii) Find the probability that a randomly-selected adult over 50
actually has cancer, given that he/she is diagnosed as not having
cancer.
Transcribed Image Text:Q. 1 Suppose that 4.5% of all adults over 50 have cancer. A certain physician correctly diagnoses 94% of all adults over 50 with cancer as having the disease and incorrectly diagnoses 4% of all adults over 50 without cancer as having the disease. (i) Draw a tree diagram and label it with appropriate probabilities. (ii) Find the probability that a randomly-selected adult over 50 is diagnosed as not having cancer. (iii) Find the probability that a randomly-selected adult over 50 actually has cancer, given that he/she is diagnosed as not having cancer.
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