(i) Annual claim frequency for an individual policyholder has mean 1 and variance o². (ii) The prior distribution for 2 is uniform on the interval [0.5, 1.5]. (iii) The prior distribution for o? is exponential with mean 1.25. A policyholder is selected at random and observed to have no claims in Year 1. Using Bühlmann credibility, estimate the number of claims in Year 2 for the selected policyholder. (A) 0.56 (В) 0.65 (C) 0.71 (D) 0.83 (E) 0.94
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