Pretend it is almost election time in 2040. You are on the reelection staff of President Adrian Miller. It is October 15, and Election Day (November 6) is approaching quickly. Your job is to analyze the results of polls conducted by five different companies and report the results to President Miller. Poll Date Sample Size Result (Percent planning to vote for Miller) Weight Poll 1 October 1 2,435 53% .40 Poll 2 September 14 1,300 42% .08 Poll 3 July 20 1,100 55% .05 Poll 4 October 10 2,000 45% .47 Which polls are the most reliable? Choose the best answer to explain how you should think about this. Question 14 options: Poll 1 and Poll 4 as they are the most current, they have the largest sample size and they have the highest weighting. Poll 1 and Poll 4 as their weighting together is over 50%. Poll 1 and Poll 2 as they are the most current polls. Poll 1 and Poll 4 as they are the most current polls. Poll 1 and Poll 3 as they have the highest percentage of voters planning to vote for Miller.
Pretend it is almost election time in 2040. You are on the reelection staff of President Adrian Miller. It is October 15, and Election Day (November 6) is approaching quickly. Your job is to analyze the results of polls conducted by five different companies and report the results to President Miller.
|
Poll |
Date |
|
Result (Percent planning to vote for Miller) |
Weight |
|
Poll 1 |
October 1 |
2,435 |
53% |
.40 |
|
Poll 2 |
September 14 |
1,300 |
42% |
.08 |
|
Poll 3 |
July 20 |
1,100 |
55% |
.05 |
|
Poll 4 |
October 10 |
2,000 |
45% |
.47 |
Which polls are the most reliable? Choose the best answer to explain how you should think about this.
Question 14 options:
|
|
Poll 1 and Poll 4 as they are the most current, they have the largest sample size and they have the highest weighting. |
|
|
Poll 1 and Poll 4 as their weighting together is over 50%. |
|
|
Poll 1 and Poll 2 as they are the most current polls. |
|
|
Poll 1 and Poll 4 as they are the most current polls. |
|
|
Poll 1 and Poll 3 as they have the highest percentage of voters planning to vote for Miller. |
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