Over the past 50 years, there has been a strong negative correlation between average annual income and the record time to run 1 mile. In other words, average annual incomes have been rising while the record time to run 1 mile has been decreasing. (a) Do you think increasing incomes cause decreasing times to run the mile? Explain your answer. No. A strong correlation does not imply causation. No. A strong correlation implies causation.     Yes. A strong correlation does not imply causation. Yes. A strong correlation implies causation. (b) What lurking variables might be causing the increase in one or both of the variables? Explain your answer.

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Over the past 50 years, there has been a strong negative correlation between average annual income and the record time to run 1 mile. In other words, average annual incomes have been rising while the record time to run 1 mile has been decreasing.

(a) Do you think increasing incomes cause decreasing times to run the mile? Explain your answer.
No. A strong correlation does not imply causation.
No. A strong correlation implies causation.    
Yes. A strong correlation does not imply causation.
Yes. A strong correlation implies causation.


(b) What lurking variables might be causing the increase in one or both of the variables? Explain your answer.
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