Oman Company is preparing the production plan for the month of August. The production manager gathered the following data for the last seven months. Period Sales (In Units) January 6,000 February 6,500 March 5,500 April 5,800 May 6,400 June 6,200 July 6,500 Required: A. Prepare a forecast for the month of August using each of these approaches: 1. Naïve approach 2. A three-period moving average. 3. A four-period moving average.

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Oman Company is preparing the production plan for the month of August. The production
manager gathered the following data for the last seven months.
Period
Sales (In Units)
6,000
January
February
6,500
March
5,500
April
5,800
May
6,400
June
6,200
July
6,500
Required:
A. Prepare a forecast for the month of August using each of these approaches:
1. Naïve approach
2. A three-period moving average.
3. A four-period moving average.
4. A weighted average using weights of 0.50 (most recent), 0.30 and 0.20.
5. Exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.40. (start with February, use the
data in January as the forecast for February and then use exponential smoothing for
successive forecasts.
B. Which method do you think is more accurate? Briefly explain why you choose such method.
C. Discuss some potential benefits of forecasting? How does forecasting add value to the
organization.
Transcribed Image Text:Oman Company is preparing the production plan for the month of August. The production manager gathered the following data for the last seven months. Period Sales (In Units) 6,000 January February 6,500 March 5,500 April 5,800 May 6,400 June 6,200 July 6,500 Required: A. Prepare a forecast for the month of August using each of these approaches: 1. Naïve approach 2. A three-period moving average. 3. A four-period moving average. 4. A weighted average using weights of 0.50 (most recent), 0.30 and 0.20. 5. Exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.40. (start with February, use the data in January as the forecast for February and then use exponential smoothing for successive forecasts. B. Which method do you think is more accurate? Briefly explain why you choose such method. C. Discuss some potential benefits of forecasting? How does forecasting add value to the organization.
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