Mickey Lawson is considering investing some money that he inherited. The following payoff ta- ble gives the profits that would be realized during the next year for each of three investment alterna- tives Mickey is considering: STATE OF NATURE DECISION GOOD POOR ALTERNATIVE ECONOMY ECONOMY Stock market 80,000 -20,000 Bonds 30,000 20,000 CDs 23,000 23,000 Probability 0.5 0.5 (a) What decision would maximize expected profits? (b) What is the maximum amount that should be paid for a perfect forecast of the economy?

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Mickey Lawson is considering investing some
money that he inherited. The following payoff ta-
ble gives the profits that would be realized during
the next year for each of three investment alterna-
tives Mickey is considering:
STATE OF NATURE
DECISION
GOOD
POOR
ALTERNATIVE
ECONOMY
ECONOMY
Stock market
80,000
-20,000
Bonds
30,000
20,000
CDs
23,000
23,000
Probability
0.5
0.5
(a) What decision would maximize expected
profits?
(b) What is the maximum amount that should be
paid for a perfect forecast of the economy?
Transcribed Image Text:Mickey Lawson is considering investing some money that he inherited. The following payoff ta- ble gives the profits that would be realized during the next year for each of three investment alterna- tives Mickey is considering: STATE OF NATURE DECISION GOOD POOR ALTERNATIVE ECONOMY ECONOMY Stock market 80,000 -20,000 Bonds 30,000 20,000 CDs 23,000 23,000 Probability 0.5 0.5 (a) What decision would maximize expected profits? (b) What is the maximum amount that should be paid for a perfect forecast of the economy?
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