manufacturing firm, Caleb Corp, produces and sells product in its home (US) market, and in a foreign market. There is inherent risk in the revenues collected from the foreign market due to volatility in the exchange rate. Under a benchmark strategy, all of the production takes place in the home country. The resulting expected profits for Caleb Corp are variable, due to variation in the exchange rate. As an approximation, the firm has estimated profits for five possible ranges of the exchange rate, with profit represented as a lottery, L= (.2, 150; .2, 200; .3, 220; .2,250; .1, 270) The probabilities are estimated probabilities for the different ranges. The outcomes in this lottery are the estimated final profit levels (not changes in profit). (a) Calculate the expected profit if the firm follows this benchmark strategy, i.e., E(L)

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A manufacturing firm, Caleb Corp, produces and sells product in its home (US) market, and in a foreign market. There is inherent risk in the revenues collected from the foreign market due to volatility in the exchange rate. Under a benchmark strategy, all of the production takes place in the home country. The resulting expected profits for Caleb Corp are variable, due to variation in the exchange rate. As an approximation, the firm has estimated profits for five possible ranges of the exchange rate, with profit represented as a lottery,

L= (.2, 150; .2, 200; .3, 220; .2,250; .1, 270)

The probabilities are estimated probabilities for the different ranges. The outcomes in this lottery are the estimated final profit levels (not changes in profit).

(a)  Calculate the expected profit if the firm follows this benchmark strategy, i.e., E(L)

 

 

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