Kristina has a new shoe project which requires an investment of $12 million over one year after which there is a 25% chance of aborting at zero extra cost and an 75% chance of further development over three years at a cost of a further $25 million. At this point you estimate a 50% chance of making net profit of $90 million, a 40% change of making a net profit of $60 million and a 10% chance of making only $20 million. Your discount rate is 6%. Create a decision tree that illustrates these choices and calculate the NPV given the assumptions in the question. Should you go ahead?
Kristina has a new shoe project which requires an investment of $12 million over one year after which there is a 25% chance of aborting at zero extra cost and an 75% chance of further development over three years at a cost of a further $25 million. At this point you estimate a 50% chance of making net profit of $90 million, a 40% change of making a net profit of $60 million and a 10% chance of making only $20 million. Your discount rate is 6%. Create a decision tree that illustrates these choices and calculate the NPV given the assumptions in the question. Should you go ahead?
Intermediate Financial Management (MindTap Course List)
13th Edition
ISBN:9781337395083
Author:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves
Publisher:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves
Chapter14: Real Options
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 4MC
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Question
![Kristina has a new shoe project which requires an investment of $12 million over one
year after which there is a 25% chance of aborting at zero extra cost and an 75%
chance of further development over three years at a cost of a further $25 million. At
this point you estimate a 50% chance of making net profit of $90 million, a 40%
change of making a net profit of $60 million and a 10% chance of making only $20
million. Your discount rate is 6%. Create a decision tree that illustrates these choices
and calculate the NPV given the assumptions in the question. Should you go ahead?](/v2/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcontent.bartleby.com%2Fqna-images%2Fquestion%2Fe814ae65-2de2-48f7-86ae-be140f989bbf%2F3ea64e5f-eaef-4804-8588-c3e10f00f049%2F567dkpn_processed.png&w=3840&q=75)
Transcribed Image Text:Kristina has a new shoe project which requires an investment of $12 million over one
year after which there is a 25% chance of aborting at zero extra cost and an 75%
chance of further development over three years at a cost of a further $25 million. At
this point you estimate a 50% chance of making net profit of $90 million, a 40%
change of making a net profit of $60 million and a 10% chance of making only $20
million. Your discount rate is 6%. Create a decision tree that illustrates these choices
and calculate the NPV given the assumptions in the question. Should you go ahead?
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