ITLOS Petroleum is considering the commercial phase of an oil operation in the Tano Basin of Ghana. ITLOS has incurred US$12 million in prospecting cost. the commercial phase requires a capital investment of US$5 million immediately and US$35 million in the first year. Recent assessment reports suggest that the basin has oil deposits in commercial quantities, but actual reverses could vary from current estimates. Possible reserve outcomes and related cash flows follow: scenario reserve 1 2 3 4 5 35 30 25 23 20 year2 year3 year4 year5 year6 NPV 24 25 23 22 31.40 16 17.23 15% 21 25% 18 30% 15 20% 13 10% 8 17 13 11 10 21 15 13 11 (a)compute the NPV of the project under the scenario 5. (b)compute the expected net present value of the project. should the project be implemented? (c) what is the probability that the project will be viable? what is the probability that the project would result in loss 18 11 10 8 8 6 5 1.96 (3.37) not completed

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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please answer all the parts within 30 minutes. do not answer just one or two questions, answer all 3 questions. else i will give negative ratings.
ITLOS Petroleum is considering the commercial
phase of an oil operation in the Tano Basin of
Ghana. ITLOS has incurred US$12 million in
prospecting cost. the commercial phase requires a
capital investment of US$5 million immediately and
US$35 million in the first year. Recent assessment
reports suggest that the basin has oil deposits in
commercial quantities, but actual reverses could
vary from current estimates. Possible reserve
outcomes and related cash flows follow:
scenario
reserve
year2 year3 year4 year5 year6 NPV
1
35
15%
21
24
25
23
22
31.40
30
25%
18
17
21
18
16
17.23
3
25
30%
15
13
15
11
8.
1.96
4
23
20%
13
11
13
10
(3.37)
20
10%
10
11
not
completed
(a)compute the NPV of the project under the
scenario 5.
(b)compute the expected net present value of the
project. should the project be implemented?
(c) what is the probability that the project will be
viable? what is the probability that the project
would result in loss
Transcribed Image Text:ITLOS Petroleum is considering the commercial phase of an oil operation in the Tano Basin of Ghana. ITLOS has incurred US$12 million in prospecting cost. the commercial phase requires a capital investment of US$5 million immediately and US$35 million in the first year. Recent assessment reports suggest that the basin has oil deposits in commercial quantities, but actual reverses could vary from current estimates. Possible reserve outcomes and related cash flows follow: scenario reserve year2 year3 year4 year5 year6 NPV 1 35 15% 21 24 25 23 22 31.40 30 25% 18 17 21 18 16 17.23 3 25 30% 15 13 15 11 8. 1.96 4 23 20% 13 11 13 10 (3.37) 20 10% 10 11 not completed (a)compute the NPV of the project under the scenario 5. (b)compute the expected net present value of the project. should the project be implemented? (c) what is the probability that the project will be viable? what is the probability that the project would result in loss
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