It is the beginning of September and you have been offered the following deal to go heli-skiing. If you pick the first week in January and pay for your vacation now, you can get a week of heli-skiing for $1500. However, if you cannot ski because the helicopters cannot fly due to bad weather, there is no snow, or you get sick, you do not get a refund. There is a 25% probability that you will not be able to ski. If you wait until the last minute and go only if you know that the conditions are perfect and you are well, the vacation will cost $4000. You estimate that the pleasure you get from heli-skiing is worth $6300 per week to you (if you had to pay any more than that, you would choose not to go). If your cost of capital is 12% per year, should you book ahead or wait and why? (A decision tree is needed in the answer)

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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It is the beginning of September and you have been offered the
following deal to go heli-skiing. If you pick the first week in
January and pay for your vacation now, you can get a week of
heli-skiing for $1500. However, if you cannot ski because the
helicopters cannot fly due to bad weather, there is no snow, or
you get sick, you do not get a refund. There is a 25% probability
that you will not be able to ski. If you wait until the last minute
and go only if you know that the conditions are perfect and you
are well, the vacation will cost $4000. You estimate that the
pleasure you get from heli-skiing is worth $6300 per week to
you (if you had to pay any more than that, you would choose not
to go). If your cost of capital is 12% per year, should you book
ahead or wait and why? (A decision tree is needed in the answer)
Transcribed Image Text:It is the beginning of September and you have been offered the following deal to go heli-skiing. If you pick the first week in January and pay for your vacation now, you can get a week of heli-skiing for $1500. However, if you cannot ski because the helicopters cannot fly due to bad weather, there is no snow, or you get sick, you do not get a refund. There is a 25% probability that you will not be able to ski. If you wait until the last minute and go only if you know that the conditions are perfect and you are well, the vacation will cost $4000. You estimate that the pleasure you get from heli-skiing is worth $6300 per week to you (if you had to pay any more than that, you would choose not to go). If your cost of capital is 12% per year, should you book ahead or wait and why? (A decision tree is needed in the answer)
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