In this scenario, you are on a planning committee of a city that experiences natural disasters each year. The 3 types of natural disasters that your city experiences the most are droughts, hurricanes and wildfires. Your committee wishes to develop and design strategies for lessening the impacts of future disasters. Please consider the data on major natural disasters shown in the table below. Assuming that the ratios of frequency, severity, and impacts are the same for your city, please answer the following prompt. Prompt: A. The committee does have a budget and can only implement a certain number of strategies. What factors will the committee need to consider as they develop strategies to reduce impacts of the major natural disasters of droughts, hurricanes and wildfires? B. Based on the factors you mentioned above and the data in the table, which natural disaster would you (as the committee) prioritize and design solutions for? Please explain specific reasons you would prioritize that natural disasters above the others. Billion-dollar events to affect the U.S. from 1980 to 2019 (CPI-Adjusted) AVERAGE EVENT COST (BILLIONS OF CPI-ADJUSTED NUMBER PERCENT OF LOSSES (BILLIONS OF DISASTER PERCENT OF TOTAL DEATHS TYPE FREQUENCY EVENTS LOSSES DOLLARS) DOLLARS) I Drought 26 10.1% $249.7 14.2% $9.6 2.993 Flooding 32 12.4% $146.5 8.3% $4.6º 555 Freeze 3.5% $30.5 a 1.79% $3.4 162 Severe Storm 113 43.8% $247.8 a 14.196 $2.2 1,642 Tropical Cyclone 17.196 $945,9 a 53.9% $21.5 6,502 44 IWildfire 17 6.6% $84.9 C 4.8% $5.0 347 I Winter Storm 17 6.6% $49.3 2.8% $2.9 1,048 I All Disasters 258 100.0% $1,754,6 C 100.0% $6.8 13,249 "Deaths associated with drought are the result of heat waves. (Not all droughts are accompanied by extreme heat waves.) Flooding statistics do not include inland flood damage caused by tropical cyclone events. The confidence interval (CI) probabilities (75%, 90% and 95%) represent the uncertainty associated with the disaster cost estimates. Monte Carlo simulations were used to produce upper and lower bounds at these confidence levels (Smith and Matthews, 2015). I !!!

Applications and Investigations in Earth Science (9th Edition)
9th Edition
ISBN:9780134746241
Author:Edward J. Tarbuck, Frederick K. Lutgens, Dennis G. Tasa
Publisher:Edward J. Tarbuck, Frederick K. Lutgens, Dennis G. Tasa
Chapter1: The Study Of Minerals
Section: Chapter Questions
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Question
In this scenario, you are on a planning committee of a city that experiences natural disasters each year. The 3 types of natural disasters that your city
experiences the most are droughts, hurricanes and wildfires. Your committee wishes to develop and design strategies for lessening the impacts of future
disasters. Please consider the data on major natural disasters shown in the table below. Assuming that the ratios of frequency, severity, and impacts are
the same for your city, please answer the following prompt.
Prompt:
A. The committee does have a budget and can only implement a certain number of strategies. What factors will the committee need to consider
as they develop strategies to reduce impacts of the major natural disasters of droughts, hurricanes and wildfires?
B. Based on the factors you mentioned above and the data in the table, which natural disaster would you (as the committee) prioritize and
design solutions for? Please explain specific reasons you would prioritize that natural disasters above the others.
Billion-dollar events to affect the U.S. from 1980 to 2019 (CPI-Adjusted)
CPI-ADJUSTED
AVERAGE
NUMBER
PERCENT OF
DISASTER
PERCENT
LOSSES
EVENT COST
OF
TOTAL
DEATHS
ΤΥΡΕ
FREQUENCY
(BILLIONS OF
(BILLIONS OF
DOLLARS)
EVENTS
LOSSES
DOLLARS)
Drought
$249.7 CI
14.2%
$9.6
2,993
26
10.1%
Flooding
$146.5 CI
8.3%
$4.65
32
12.4%
555
$30.5 CI
$3.4
Freeze
9.
3.5%
1.79%
162
Severe Storm
113
43.8%
$247.8 CI
14.19%
$2.2
1,642
Tropical Cyclone
17.1%
$945.9 CI
44
53.9%
$21.5
6,502
IWildfire
17
6.6%
$84.9 CI
$5.0
4.8%
347
Winter Storm
17
6.6%
$49.3 CI
2.8%
$2.9
1,048
I All Disasters
258
100.0%
$1,754,6 cI
100.0%
$6.8
13,249
'Deaths associated with drought are the result of heat waves. (Not all droughts are accompanied by extreme heat waves.)
SFlooding statistics do not include inland flood damage caused by tropical cyclone events.
The confidence interval (CI) probabilities (75%, 90% and 95%) represent the uncertainty associated with the disaster cost estimates.
Monte Carlo simulations were used to produce upper and lower bounds at these confidence levels (Smith and Matthews, 2015).
В I
0 / 1000 Word Limit
!!
Transcribed Image Text:In this scenario, you are on a planning committee of a city that experiences natural disasters each year. The 3 types of natural disasters that your city experiences the most are droughts, hurricanes and wildfires. Your committee wishes to develop and design strategies for lessening the impacts of future disasters. Please consider the data on major natural disasters shown in the table below. Assuming that the ratios of frequency, severity, and impacts are the same for your city, please answer the following prompt. Prompt: A. The committee does have a budget and can only implement a certain number of strategies. What factors will the committee need to consider as they develop strategies to reduce impacts of the major natural disasters of droughts, hurricanes and wildfires? B. Based on the factors you mentioned above and the data in the table, which natural disaster would you (as the committee) prioritize and design solutions for? Please explain specific reasons you would prioritize that natural disasters above the others. Billion-dollar events to affect the U.S. from 1980 to 2019 (CPI-Adjusted) CPI-ADJUSTED AVERAGE NUMBER PERCENT OF DISASTER PERCENT LOSSES EVENT COST OF TOTAL DEATHS ΤΥΡΕ FREQUENCY (BILLIONS OF (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) EVENTS LOSSES DOLLARS) Drought $249.7 CI 14.2% $9.6 2,993 26 10.1% Flooding $146.5 CI 8.3% $4.65 32 12.4% 555 $30.5 CI $3.4 Freeze 9. 3.5% 1.79% 162 Severe Storm 113 43.8% $247.8 CI 14.19% $2.2 1,642 Tropical Cyclone 17.1% $945.9 CI 44 53.9% $21.5 6,502 IWildfire 17 6.6% $84.9 CI $5.0 4.8% 347 Winter Storm 17 6.6% $49.3 CI 2.8% $2.9 1,048 I All Disasters 258 100.0% $1,754,6 cI 100.0% $6.8 13,249 'Deaths associated with drought are the result of heat waves. (Not all droughts are accompanied by extreme heat waves.) SFlooding statistics do not include inland flood damage caused by tropical cyclone events. The confidence interval (CI) probabilities (75%, 90% and 95%) represent the uncertainty associated with the disaster cost estimates. Monte Carlo simulations were used to produce upper and lower bounds at these confidence levels (Smith and Matthews, 2015). В I 0 / 1000 Word Limit !!
The graph below shows information about the largest natural disasters occurring in the United States from 1980 to 2019.
Question: If the United States is interested in developing strategies that save the most human lives, on which natural disaster should they focus
their strategy development?
Billion-dollar events to affect the U.S. from 1980 to 2019 (CPI-Adjusted)
CPI-ADJUSTED
AVERAGE
NUMBER
PERCENT OF
DISASTER
PERCENT
LOSSES
EVENT COST
OF
TОTAL
DEATHS
(BILLIONS OF
DOLLARS)
ΤΥΡΕ
FREQUENCY
(BILLIONS OF
DOLLARS)
EVENTS
LOSSES
Drought
26
10.196
$249.7 CI
14.29%
$9.6
2,993*
Flooding
32
12.4%
$146.55 CI
8.3%5
$4.65
555
$30.5 CI
$3.4
Freeze
9.
3.5%
1.7%
162
1 Severe Storm
113
43.8%
$247.8 CI
14.1%
$2.2
1,642
CI
Tropical Cyclone
44
17.19%
$945.9
53.9%
$21.5
6,502
Wildfire
17
6.69%6
$84.9 C
4.8%
$5.0
347
Winter Storm
$49.3 CI
$2.9
1,048
17
6.69%6
2.8%
All Disasters
258
100.0%
$1,754,6 CI
100.0%
$6.8
13,249
"Deaths associated with drought are the result of heat waves. (Not all droughts are accompanied by extreme heat waves.)
SFlooding statistics do not include inland flood damage caused by tropical cyclone events.
The confidence interval (CI) probabilities (756, 90% and 95%) represent the uncertainty associated with the disaster cost estimates.
Monte Carlo simulations were used to produce upper and lower bounds at these confidence levels (Smith and Matthews, 2015 2).
freeze
O droughts
O tropical cyclones
O wildfire
Transcribed Image Text:The graph below shows information about the largest natural disasters occurring in the United States from 1980 to 2019. Question: If the United States is interested in developing strategies that save the most human lives, on which natural disaster should they focus their strategy development? Billion-dollar events to affect the U.S. from 1980 to 2019 (CPI-Adjusted) CPI-ADJUSTED AVERAGE NUMBER PERCENT OF DISASTER PERCENT LOSSES EVENT COST OF TОTAL DEATHS (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) ΤΥΡΕ FREQUENCY (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) EVENTS LOSSES Drought 26 10.196 $249.7 CI 14.29% $9.6 2,993* Flooding 32 12.4% $146.55 CI 8.3%5 $4.65 555 $30.5 CI $3.4 Freeze 9. 3.5% 1.7% 162 1 Severe Storm 113 43.8% $247.8 CI 14.1% $2.2 1,642 CI Tropical Cyclone 44 17.19% $945.9 53.9% $21.5 6,502 Wildfire 17 6.69%6 $84.9 C 4.8% $5.0 347 Winter Storm $49.3 CI $2.9 1,048 17 6.69%6 2.8% All Disasters 258 100.0% $1,754,6 CI 100.0% $6.8 13,249 "Deaths associated with drought are the result of heat waves. (Not all droughts are accompanied by extreme heat waves.) SFlooding statistics do not include inland flood damage caused by tropical cyclone events. The confidence interval (CI) probabilities (756, 90% and 95%) represent the uncertainty associated with the disaster cost estimates. Monte Carlo simulations were used to produce upper and lower bounds at these confidence levels (Smith and Matthews, 2015 2). freeze O droughts O tropical cyclones O wildfire
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