In hypothesis testing, why do we start with a no-difference null hypothesis and then try to reject it? Because the no-difference hypothesis is the hypothesis that researchers try to establish. To boost the probability of accepting the alternative hypothesis. For the sake of convenience We assume that there is no difference unless there is a strong enough evidence to reject that.
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- During an outbreak, a test is administered for the (fictional) disease stelastr. The chance is 0.9 of a positive result if someone has stelastr and the chance of a negative result if someone does not have stelastr is 0.6 What is the chance of a negative result if someone has stelastr? [Select] The chance that someone in the general population has stelastr is 0.7 What is the chance that someone in the general population does not have stelastr? [Select] Recall the partition theorem. The chance of a positive result is (the chance of a positive result and the patient has stelastr) plus (the chance of a positive result and the patient does not have stelastr). P(X) = P(X|Y) P(Y) + P(X| not Y) P( not Y) What is the chance of a positive result and the patient has stelastr? [S [Select] We want to figure out the chance that a positive test result means the patient has stelastr. This is Bayes's formula P(B|A) = P(A/B) P(B)/P(A) The terms on the right hand side we already know, and the term on the…It has recently been claimed that 25% of adults consider spring to be their favorite season of the year. A researcher is skeptical of this claim and believes this percentage is too low. She surveys a random of 1,000 adults and finds that 390 of these adults consider spring to be their favorite season of the year. As she prepares to conduct a hypothesis test, the researcher writes out her alternative hypothesis as “p < 0.25.” What is wrong with this? The alternative hypothesis should be “p > 0.39.” The alternative hypothesis should be “p < 0.39.” The alternative hypothesis should be “p > 0.25.” The alternative hypothesis should be “p = 0.25.” Nothing is wrong with the given alternative hypothesis.Joon wants to determine whether his San Jose oil field will yield oil. He has hired a geologist to run tests on the field. If there is oil in the field, there is a 95% chance that the test will indicate oil. If the field contains no oil, there is a 5% chance that the test will indicate oil. If the test indicates that there is no oil in the field, what is the probability that the field contains oil? Before the test, Joon believes that there is a 10% chance that the field will yield oil.
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- You are hiking through the woods, and come across some tracks; based on your expe- rience, you estimate there is a 40% chance the tracks are from a dog, a 30% chance the tracks are from a wolf, a 20% chance the tracks are from a coyote, and a 10% chance the tracks are from some other animal. Your friend, also a nature lover, notices some white hairs in the tracks. They know that 20% of dogs have white hair, 50% of wolves have white hair, 10% of coyotes have white hair, and 30% of other animals in the area have white hair. What are the odds of these tracks coming from a dog, wolf, coyote, or other animal?According to the college registrar's office, 45% of students enrolled in an introductory statistics class this semester are freshmen, 20% are sophomores, 25% are juniors, and 10% are seniors. You want to determine the probability that in a random sample of five students enrolled in introductory statistics this semester, exactly two are freshmen. (a) Describe a trial. Can we model a trial as having only two outcomes? If so, what is success? What is failure? Choose one of the statements below:A. A trial consists of looking at the class status of a student enrolled in introductory statistics. Yes we can model this trial with "freshman" being a success and "any other class" as a failure.B. A trial consists of looking at the class status of a student enrolled in introductory statistics. Yes we can model this trial with "junior" being a success and "any other class" as a failure.C. A trial consists of looking at the class status of a student enrolled in introductory statistics. Yes we can…In hypothesis testing, O if the P-value is 0.01, we should conclude there is a 1% chance the null hypothesis is false. O neither the test statistic nor the P-value can ever be negative. O we always begin the hypothesis test by assuming the null hypothesis is true. O if the P-value is 0.99, we should conclude that the null hypothesis is true. O results that are statistically significant will always be practically important (or practically significant).