In answering a question on a multiple-choice test a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let p be the probability that she knows the answer and 1 - p the probability that she guesses. Assume that a student who guesses at the answer will be correct with probability 1/m, where m is the number of multiple-choice alternatives. What is the conditional probabil- ity that a student knew the answer to a question given that she answered it correctly?

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
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In answering a question on a multiple-choice test a student
either knows the answer or guesses. Let p be the probability that she knows
the answer and 1 - p the probability that she guesses. Assume that a student
who guesses at the answer will be correct with probability 1/m, where m is
the number of multiple-choice alternatives. What is the conditional probabil-
ity that a student knew the answer to a question given that she answered it
correctly?
Transcribed Image Text:In answering a question on a multiple-choice test a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let p be the probability that she knows the answer and 1 - p the probability that she guesses. Assume that a student who guesses at the answer will be correct with probability 1/m, where m is the number of multiple-choice alternatives. What is the conditional probabil- ity that a student knew the answer to a question given that she answered it correctly?
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