In 1992, after game 1 of the World Series (of baseball, a best-of-seven series), the announcers took pleasure in announcing that over the previous 20 years, it had only happened 8 times that the team that lost the first game went on to win the series. They seemed to be suggesting that winning a series 40% of the time was surprisingly low after loosing the first game. Is it? In other words, assuming that the two teams are equally likely to win a game and that the games are independent events, what is the probability that the team that lost the first game wins the series?

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
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ISBN:9780470458365
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In 1992, after game 1 of the World Series (of baseball, a best-of-seven series), the announcers took pleasure in announcing that over the previous 20 years, it had only happened 8 times that the team that lost the first game went on to win the series. They seemed to be suggesting that winning a series 40% of the time was surprisingly low after loosing the first game. Is it? In other words, assuming that the two teams are equally likely to win a game and that the games are independent events, what is the probability that the team that lost the first game wins the series?

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