I have a question about the solution to this question: https://www.chegg.com/homework-help/questions-and-answers/urn-contains-two-white-chips-one-red-chip-urn-ii-one-white-chip-two-red-chips-one-chip-dra-q1496723. I am not sure how to calculate the p(aIe1), please explain. thanks

Database System Concepts
7th Edition
ISBN:9780078022159
Author:Abraham Silberschatz Professor, Henry F. Korth, S. Sudarshan
Publisher:Abraham Silberschatz Professor, Henry F. Korth, S. Sudarshan
Chapter1: Introduction
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I have a question about the solution to this question: https://www.chegg.com/homework-help/questions-and-answers/urn-contains-two-white-chips-one-red-chip-urn-ii-one-white-chip-two-red-chips-one-chip-dra-q1496723. I am not sure how to calculate the p(aIe1), please explain. thanks 

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The Question is :

Urn I contains two white chips and one red chip; urn II has one white chip and two red chips. One chip is drawn at random from urn I and transferred to urn II. Then one chip is drawn from urn II. Suppose that a red chip is selected from urn II. What is the probability that the chip transferred was red?

 

 

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