hort response: A group of researchers is running a randomized control trial in Mexico, where they are studying the link between development projects and public support for government forces. They are randomizing which villages in one district receive a development project (for example, an irrigation system) and which receive a control condition (no project). Assume that the researchers have gathered information about village characteristics prior to the trial. Question: In treated villages, the cartels threaten to harm any villagers who work with the government on the development project. How might this bias the results? Is there any way to recover an average treatment effect?

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Short response: A group of researchers is running a randomized control trial in Mexico, where they are studying the link between development projects and public support for government forces. They are randomizing which villages in one district receive a development project (for example, an irrigation system) and which receive a control condition (no project). Assume that the researchers have gathered information about village characteristics prior to the trial.

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  1. In treated villages, the cartels threaten to harm any villagers who work with the government on the development project. How might this bias the results? Is there any way to recover an average treatment effect?

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