Florrie’s Fashion Store and Mary’s market stall both sell a particular style of sweatshirt. They are the only outlets for the garment in the area, with Florrie’s accounting for 70% of the total number sold and Mary’s accounting for the remainder. Unfortunately colour dye that faded prematurely was used to manufacture the first batches of the product. The supplier estimates that 15% of the stock supplied to Florrie and 25% of the stock supplied to Mary have this problem. Use Bayes’ rule to find the probability that if a sweatshirt is defective it was sold by Mary.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Florrie’s Fashion Store and Mary’s market stall both sell a particular style of sweatshirt. They are
the only outlets for the garment in the area, with Florrie’s accounting for 70% of the total number
sold and Mary’s accounting for the remainder. Unfortunately colour dye that faded prematurely was
used to manufacture the first batches of the product. The supplier estimates that 15% of the stock
supplied to Florrie and 25% of the stock supplied to Mary have this problem. Use Bayes’ rule to find
the probability that if a sweatshirt is defective it was sold by Mary.

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