Figure out the better forecasting technique among 2 periods Moving Average, Naive technique, and Exponential Smoothing by doing the error calculation.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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Freya is a new name in the retail industry that just started off its journey. With the right strategies, the brand’s grandeur will only rise with time. However, the founders really want to predict the customer demand right for the month of June. Hence, they need to figure out the right forecasting techniques. They are considering 2-period Moving Average, Naive technique, and Exponential Smoothing (use any value between .10 - .18 as the value of alpha). Figure out the better forecasting technique among 2 periods Moving Average, Naive technique, and Exponential Smoothing by doing the error calculation.

 

Period

Demand

2period Moving

Average

Naive technique

Exponential Smoothing

January

80

85

82

70

February

84

82

**

**

March

89

**

**

**

April

95

**

**

**

May

98

**

**

**

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