Exercise 3. Show that Equation (22) is indeed a solution of Equation (20). Verify that, taking po 1, this result gives the values of P(T₁) = p₁ and previously. P(T2) = P2 we obtained

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
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Author:Erwin Kreyszig
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Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes
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Exercise 3
Page
6
Reflection
This is a favorite problem of mine for an intermediate level probability course.
Let's think about the solution a bit.
The solution for the last part seems like something of a cheat. How does
one know that the limit exists in the first place? And it seems strange that
the limiting probability doesn't depend on the probability that the deck is
initially together by suit. Is this right? Is it possible to get a closed form
expression for P(Tk)?
For simplicity, let's write pk = P(T), then Equation (17) is
6
of 7
Transcribed Image Text:Page 6 Reflection This is a favorite problem of mine for an intermediate level probability course. Let's think about the solution a bit. The solution for the last part seems like something of a cheat. How does one know that the limit exists in the first place? And it seems strange that the limiting probability doesn't depend on the probability that the deck is initially together by suit. Is this right? Is it possible to get a closed form expression for P(Tk)? For simplicity, let's write pk = P(T), then Equation (17) is 6 of 7
4
1
Pk+1
Pki Po
15
15
(20)
We could use transform techniques to solve Equation (20); on the other hand,
our experience with those techniques gives us an idea of what a solution
should look like. In particular, our intuition is that a solution of Equation
(20) will have the form:
1
Pk =
+ Cak; k ≥0
(21)
4
for appropriate constants C and a. Indeed, one finds
1
Pk = +0
-
+ (Po − 1)()*; ; k > 0
22
4
Note that this result shows that the limiting probability really doesn't depend
on po, the probability the cards in the deck are initially together by suit.
Exercise 3. Show that Equation (22) is indeed a solution of Equation (20).
Verify that, taking po = 1, this result gives the values of P(T₁) = P₁ and
P(T2) p2 we obtained previously.
Transcribed Image Text:4 1 Pk+1 Pki Po 15 15 (20) We could use transform techniques to solve Equation (20); on the other hand, our experience with those techniques gives us an idea of what a solution should look like. In particular, our intuition is that a solution of Equation (20) will have the form: 1 Pk = + Cak; k ≥0 (21) 4 for appropriate constants C and a. Indeed, one finds 1 Pk = +0 - + (Po − 1)()*; ; k > 0 22 4 Note that this result shows that the limiting probability really doesn't depend on po, the probability the cards in the deck are initially together by suit. Exercise 3. Show that Equation (22) is indeed a solution of Equation (20). Verify that, taking po = 1, this result gives the values of P(T₁) = P₁ and P(T2) p2 we obtained previously.
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