Example 8.17 (Public Opinion Polling) We would like to estimate the portion of people who plan to vote for Candidate A in an upcoming election. It is assumed that the number of voters is large, and e is the portion of voters who plan to vote for Candidate A. We define the random variable X as follows. A voter is chosen uniformly at random among all voters and we ask her/him: "Do you plan to vote for Candidate A?" If she/he says "yes," then X = 1, otherwise X = 0. Then, X - Bernoulli(@). Let X1. X2, X3, .., x, be a random sample from this distribution, which means that the X,'s are i.i.d. and X, ~ Bernoulli(0). In other words, we randomly select n voters (with replacement) and we ask each of them if they plan to vote for Candidate A. Find a (1 – a)100% confidence interval for 0 based on X,, X3, N3,... X„.

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Example 8.17
(Public Opinion Polling) We would like to estimate the portion of people who plan to
vote for Candidate A in an upcoming election. It is assumed that the number of voters
is large, and 0 is the portion of voters who plan to vote for Candidate A. We define the
random variable X as follows. A voter is chosen uniformly at random among all voters
and we ask her/him: "Do you plan to vote for Candidate A?" If she/he says "yes," then
X = 1, otherwise X = 0. Then,
X ~ Bernoulli(0).
Let X1, X3, X3, .. X, be a random sample from this distribution, which means that
the X/'s are i.i.d. and X, ~ Bernoulli(0). In other words, we randomly select n voters
(with replacement) and we ask each of them if they plan to vote for Candidate A. Find
a (1 – a)100% confidence interval for 0 based on X, X3, X,. .... X„.
Transcribed Image Text:Example 8.17 (Public Opinion Polling) We would like to estimate the portion of people who plan to vote for Candidate A in an upcoming election. It is assumed that the number of voters is large, and 0 is the portion of voters who plan to vote for Candidate A. We define the random variable X as follows. A voter is chosen uniformly at random among all voters and we ask her/him: "Do you plan to vote for Candidate A?" If she/he says "yes," then X = 1, otherwise X = 0. Then, X ~ Bernoulli(0). Let X1, X3, X3, .. X, be a random sample from this distribution, which means that the X/'s are i.i.d. and X, ~ Bernoulli(0). In other words, we randomly select n voters (with replacement) and we ask each of them if they plan to vote for Candidate A. Find a (1 – a)100% confidence interval for 0 based on X, X3, X,. .... X„.
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