Example 21.5) The following table shows three states of nature (events) and three actions. The amount that a person will gain in each combination of state of nature and action is shown in the table. Prob- abilities for three states of nature are also given. Action A, (Rs) A2 (Rs) A3 (Rs) State of Nature (Event) 25,000 30,000 40,000 -7,000 50,000 25,000 -18,000 S2 S3 -8,000 60,000 S, 0.3 State of nature S2 0.5 S3 0.2 Probability (i) Find out values of EP, EPPI and EVPI. (ii) A research firm has agreed to conduct a survey to provide the management with additional infor- mation regarding the states of nature. It will charge Rs 12,000 for undertaking this survey. Do vou think that the survey should be conducted?

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Example 21.5) The following table shows three states of nature (events) and three actions. The amount
that a person will gain in each combination of state of nature and action is shown in the table. Prob-
abilities for three states of nature are also given.
Action
A¡ (Rs)
A2 (Rs)
A3 (Rs)
State of Nature (Event)
S,
S2
S3
25,000
30,000
40,000
-7,000
50,000
25,000
-18,000
-8,000
60,000
State of nature
S3
S2
0.5
Probability
0.3
0.2
(i) Find out values of EP, EPPI and EVPI.
(ii) A research firm has agreed to conduct a survey to provide the management with additional infor-
mation regarding the states of nature. It will charge Rs 12,000 for undertaking this survey. Do
ou think that the survey should be conducted?
you
Transcribed Image Text:Example 21.5) The following table shows three states of nature (events) and three actions. The amount that a person will gain in each combination of state of nature and action is shown in the table. Prob- abilities for three states of nature are also given. Action A¡ (Rs) A2 (Rs) A3 (Rs) State of Nature (Event) S, S2 S3 25,000 30,000 40,000 -7,000 50,000 25,000 -18,000 -8,000 60,000 State of nature S3 S2 0.5 Probability 0.3 0.2 (i) Find out values of EP, EPPI and EVPI. (ii) A research firm has agreed to conduct a survey to provide the management with additional infor- mation regarding the states of nature. It will charge Rs 12,000 for undertaking this survey. Do ou think that the survey should be conducted? you
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