Example 2.3.4 (Polya's urn problem) From an urn containing r red and s black balls, n (nsr+s) balls are drawn successively, such that the ball drawn is always replaced and, in addition, q balls of the same colour are added to the urn. To find the probability.of a complete run of n black balls, let A; denote the event that the ith ball is black (i = 1, 2, ... , n). The required event is A1 N A2n...n An. %3D

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Example 2.3.4 (Polya's urn problem) From an urn containing r red and s
black balls, n (nsr + s) balls are drawn successively, such that the ball
drawn is always replaced and, in addition, q balls of the same colour are
added to the urn. To find the probability of a complete run of n black balls,
let A denote the event that the ith ball is black (i = 1, 2, . . . , n). The required
event is A1N A2n. n Ap.
%3D
Transcribed Image Text:Example 2.3.4 (Polya's urn problem) From an urn containing r red and s black balls, n (nsr + s) balls are drawn successively, such that the ball drawn is always replaced and, in addition, q balls of the same colour are added to the urn. To find the probability of a complete run of n black balls, let A denote the event that the ith ball is black (i = 1, 2, . . . , n). The required event is A1N A2n. n Ap. %3D
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