Environment-friendly agricultural practice includes the application of pesticides when it is really necessary, e.g., at the beginning of a pest emergence. Such practice, depending on the field conditions, and the reaction of growers, for the same level of “alert”, inspired this question. Assume that in the middle of the growing season in a given area, there is one pest emergence every two weeks on average. a) What is the probability that there is more than one pest emergence in two weeks? b) What is the probability that two pest emergences occur in the course of two consecutive weeks if you know that there has been no pest emergence in the first of the two weeks?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Environment-friendly agricultural practice includes the application of pesticides when it is really necessary, e.g., at the beginning of a pest emergence. Such practice, depending on the field conditions, and the reaction of growers, for the same level of “alert”, inspired this question. Assume that in the middle of the growing season in a given area, there is one pest emergence every two weeks on average.

a) What is the probability that there is more than one pest emergence in two weeks?

b) What is the probability that two pest emergences occur in the course of two consecutive weeks if you know that there has been no pest emergence in the first of the two weeks?

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