eat the same cookie snack every night. The amount of aturated fat in the serving is normally distributed with a hean of 26 grams and a standard deviation of 3 grams. ind the probability that my saturated fat intake is below 7 grams? Would this event be considered unusual? xplain your reasoning.

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**Probability and Statistics Example: Calculating Probabilities and Understanding Unusual Events**

**Problem Description:**

I eat the same cookie snack every night. The amount of saturated fat in the serving is normally distributed with a mean of 26 grams and a standard deviation of 3 grams. Find the probability that my saturated fat intake is below 27 grams? Would this event be considered unusual? Explain your reasoning.

**Solution Explanation:**

To solve this problem, we need to use the properties of the normal distribution.

**Step-by-Step Solution:**

1. **Identify the Given Parameters:**
   - Mean (μ) = 26 grams
   - Standard Deviation (σ) = 3 grams
   - We need to find the probability that the saturated fat intake (X) is below 27 grams, i.e., P(X < 27).

2. **Standardize the Normal Variable:**
   To find this probability, we need to convert the value of 27 grams to its corresponding z-score in the standard normal distribution.
   The formula for the z-score is:
   \[
   z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}
   \]
   Plugging in the values:
   \[
   z = \frac{27 - 26}{3} = \frac{1}{3} \approx 0.33
   \]

3. **Find the Probability Using the Z-Table:**
   Using the z-table (standard normal distribution table), we look up the z-score of 0.33. The z-table gives the probability to the left of z.
   - The z-table value for 0.33 is approximately 0.6293.
   - This means P(X < 27) ≈ 0.6293.

4. **Determine if the Event is Unusual:**
   - An event is generally considered unusual if its probability is less than 0.05 (or 5%).
   - In this case, the probability we found is approximately 0.6293, which is much greater than 0.05.
   - Therefore, having a saturated fat intake below 27 grams is not considered unusual.

**Conclusion:**

The probability that the saturated fat intake is below 27 grams is approximately 0.6293, or 62.93%. Since this probability is much higher than 5%, this event is not considered unusual.
Transcribed Image Text:**Probability and Statistics Example: Calculating Probabilities and Understanding Unusual Events** **Problem Description:** I eat the same cookie snack every night. The amount of saturated fat in the serving is normally distributed with a mean of 26 grams and a standard deviation of 3 grams. Find the probability that my saturated fat intake is below 27 grams? Would this event be considered unusual? Explain your reasoning. **Solution Explanation:** To solve this problem, we need to use the properties of the normal distribution. **Step-by-Step Solution:** 1. **Identify the Given Parameters:** - Mean (μ) = 26 grams - Standard Deviation (σ) = 3 grams - We need to find the probability that the saturated fat intake (X) is below 27 grams, i.e., P(X < 27). 2. **Standardize the Normal Variable:** To find this probability, we need to convert the value of 27 grams to its corresponding z-score in the standard normal distribution. The formula for the z-score is: \[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \] Plugging in the values: \[ z = \frac{27 - 26}{3} = \frac{1}{3} \approx 0.33 \] 3. **Find the Probability Using the Z-Table:** Using the z-table (standard normal distribution table), we look up the z-score of 0.33. The z-table gives the probability to the left of z. - The z-table value for 0.33 is approximately 0.6293. - This means P(X < 27) ≈ 0.6293. 4. **Determine if the Event is Unusual:** - An event is generally considered unusual if its probability is less than 0.05 (or 5%). - In this case, the probability we found is approximately 0.6293, which is much greater than 0.05. - Therefore, having a saturated fat intake below 27 grams is not considered unusual. **Conclusion:** The probability that the saturated fat intake is below 27 grams is approximately 0.6293, or 62.93%. Since this probability is much higher than 5%, this event is not considered unusual.
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