Each of urns I and II has 5 red balls, 3 white balls, and 2 green balls. Urn III has 1 red ball, 1 white ball, and 8 green balls. An urn is selected at random and a ball is drawn. If the ball is green, find the probability that urn III was selected. (Enter your probabilities as fractions.) (a) Use a probability tree to find the probability. (b) Use Bayes' formula to find the probability.

Each of urns I and II has 5 red balls, 3 white balls, and 2 green balls. Urn III has 1 red ball, 1 white ball, and 8 green balls. An urn is selected at random and a ball is drawn. If the ball is green, find the probability that urn III was selected. (Enter your probabilities as fractions.) (a) Use a probability tree to find the probability. (b) Use Bayes' formula to find the probability.

Advanced Engineering Mathematics

10th Edition

ISBN:9780470458365

Author:Erwin Kreyszig

Publisher:Erwin Kreyszig

Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1RQ

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Concept explainers

Compound Probability

Compound probability can be defined as the probability of the two events which are independent. It can be defined as the multiplication of the probability of two events that are not dependent.

Tree diagram

Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with the subject of probability. Although there are many different concepts of probability, probability theory expresses the definition mathematically through a series of axioms. Usually, these axioms express probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure with values ranging from 0 to 1 to a set of outcomes known as the sample space. An event is a subset of these outcomes that is described.

Conditional Probability

By definition, the term probability is expressed as a part of mathematics where the chance of an event that may either occur or not is evaluated and expressed in numerical terms. The range of the value within which probability can be expressed is between 0 and 1. The higher the chance of an event occurring, the closer is its value to be 1. If the probability of an event is 1, it means that the event will happen under all considered circumstances. Similarly, if the probability is exactly 0, then no matter the situation, the event will never occur.

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Each of urns I and II has 5 red balls, 3 white balls, and 2 green balls. Urn III has 1 red ball, 1 white ball, and 8 green balls.

An urn is selected at random and a ball is drawn. If the ball is green, find the probability that urn III was selected. (Enter your probabilities as fractions.)

(a) Use a probability tree to find the probability.
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(b) Use Bayes' formula to find the probability.
[Input box]

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