Decisions Involving Uncertainty - End of Chapter Problem You're a project manager overseeing five teams that are developing a new app. Each team must complete their work by July 1 in order to release the app by the end of the year. Based on your work managing the project, you know that each team has about a 75% chance of meeting the deadline. a. The probability that your firm will complete the project by the end of the year is b. Suppose that before you calculate the probability of completing the project, you walk into a weekly status meeting with the CEO. When she asks you for your "gut feeling" about the probability of finishing the project by the end of the year, you respond with an answer that exhibits the anchoring bias. Your response will likely be, "About 70%." "About 90%." "About 25%."

Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
5th Edition
ISBN:9781337106665
Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Chapter17: Making Decisions With Uncertainty
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Decisions Involving Uncertainty - End of Chapter Problem
You're a project manager overseeing five teams that are developing a new app. Each team must complete their work by July 1 in
order to release the app by the end of the year. Based on your work managing the project, you know that each team has about a
75% chance of meeting the deadline.
a. The probability that your firm will complete the project by the end of the year is
b. Suppose that before you calculate the probability of completing the project, you walk into a weekly status meeting with
the CEO. When she asks you for your "gut feeling" about the probability of finishing the project by the end of the year, you
respond with an answer that exhibits the anchoring bias. Your response will likely be,
"About 70%."
"About 90%."
"About 25%."
Transcribed Image Text:Decisions Involving Uncertainty - End of Chapter Problem You're a project manager overseeing five teams that are developing a new app. Each team must complete their work by July 1 in order to release the app by the end of the year. Based on your work managing the project, you know that each team has about a 75% chance of meeting the deadline. a. The probability that your firm will complete the project by the end of the year is b. Suppose that before you calculate the probability of completing the project, you walk into a weekly status meeting with the CEO. When she asks you for your "gut feeling" about the probability of finishing the project by the end of the year, you respond with an answer that exhibits the anchoring bias. Your response will likely be, "About 70%." "About 90%." "About 25%."
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