Data in the matrix below indicates COST expected from 3 alternatives under 4 states of nature. Determine which alternative is dominant using With and Without Probability (use a = 0.3 and probability of: 30%, ; 20%; 40% & 10% for S1, s2, 53, and S4 respectively): Alternatives S2 S3 SA A1 10 20 18 15 A2 12 15 25 20 A3 15 18 19 25

Data in the matrix below indicates COST expected from 3 alternatives under 4 states of nature. Determine which alternative is dominant using With and Without Probability (use a = 0.3 and probability of: 30%, ; 20%; 40% & 10% for S1, s2, 53, and S4 respectively): Alternatives S2 S3 SA A1 10 20 18 15 A2 12 15 25 20 A3 15 18 19 25

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

14th Edition

ISBN:9780190931919

Author:NEWNAN

Publisher:NEWNAN

Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1QTC

See similar textbooks

Similar questions

Current Attempt in Progress All of the following are disadvantages for using simulation in risk analysis, except оооо Simulations can be quite time-consuming to formulate. Simulations can be used when analytical solutions are difficult to obtain. Simulations introduce a source of randomness not present in analytical solutions (sampling error). Simulations are so easily applied that they are often used when analytical solutions can be more easily obtained at considerably less cost.
Data in the matrix below indicates COST expected from 3 alternatives under 4 states of nature. Determine which alternative is dominant using With and Without Probability (use a = 0.3 and probability of: 30%; 20%; 40% & 10% for S1, S2, S3, and 54 respectively): Which alternative is best using Expected Value? Alternatives S1 53 S4 A1 10 18 15 A2 12 25 20 A3 15 19 25 S2 20 15 18
Break-Even Point Hilton Enterprises selis a product for $119 per unit. The variable cost is $68 per unit, while faed costs are $436,968. Determine (a) the break-even point in sales units and (b) the break-even point if the selling price were increased to $124 per unit a. Break-even point in sales units units b. Break-even point if the selling price were increased to 124 per unit units 00
If specific duty is $2 per dozen and ad valorem duty is 20%, find the total duty on 12 dozen padlocks valued at $650.
The management of Brinkley Corporation is interested in using simulation to estimate the profit per unit for a new product. The selling price for the product will be $45 per unit. Probability distributions for the purchase cost, the labor cost, and the transportation cost are estimated as follows: Procurement Cost($) 10 $ 11 12 Probability 0.25 0.45 0.30 Labor Cost ($) 20 22 24 25 Probability 0.10 0.25 0.35 0.30 Transportation Cost ($) 3 5 (a) Compute profit per unit for the base-case, worst-case, and best-case scenarios. Base Case using most likely costs Profit = $ /unit Worst Case Profit = $ /unit Best Case Profit = $ /unit Probability 0.75 0.25 (b) Construct a simulation model to estimate the mean profit per unit. (Use at least 1,000 trials.) (c) Why is the simulation approach to risk analysis preferable to generating a variety of what-if scenarios? Simulation will provide ---Select--- of the profit per unit values which can then be used to find ---Select--- ◆ of an unacceptably low…
A new antitheft system incorporating MEMS technology is being separately evaluated economically by three engineers at Dragon Technologies. The first cost of the equipment will be $90,000, and the life is estimated at 6 years with a salvage value of $9000. The engineers made different estimates of the net savings that the equipment might generate. Jacob made an estimate of $9,000 per year. Susan states that this is too low and estimates $18,000, while Tyler estimates $21,000 per year before tax. If the MARR is 8% per year, use PW to determine if these different estimates will change the decision to purchase the equipment. The present worth of the pessimistic estimate is $ The present worth of the most likely estimate is $ The present worth of the optimistic estimate is $ The equipment purchase by the pessimistic estimate is not justified The equipment purchase by the most likely estimate is not justified The equipment purchase by the optimistic estimate is justified
A company is evaluating 3 different distribution plans for a new product. The company has developed best case (60% probability) and worst case (40% probability) estimates for each plan. Results are summarized in the table below. What is the optimal decision based on the maximum expected value criterion? Worst Best Plan 1 -2 10 Plan 2 3 6 Plan 3 4 5 Prob 0.4 0.6
Assume a pool of 115 people in an insurance pool (a group of people insured through community rating). It is estimated that a small number in the pool will have significant pre- existing conditions as indicated in the table. Based on the age of these 115 people, the insurance company estimates the following distribution of health care claims (which includes necessary profit and administrative costs of the insurance company). Number of Insured Antidipated Heath Costs/Year/Person $1,400 $1,500 $1,600 $1,700 $1,800 $1,900 $2,000 $2,100 $2,200 $2.300 $2,400 $2,500 $2,700 $2,000 $2,900 $3,000 $3,100 $3.200 $3.300 $4,000 57,00 $10,000 Everyone joins the poal ad pays the necessary premum in the first year. The clams experience of the customers is faund to be generaly consstent with expeclations of the insurance company. A) What would be the premium In the third year if there is no inflation, based on the company's oxperience from the past year? B) If those customers who have anticipated…
If LRTC is 200+5q-2(q)(q)+(q)(q)(q) the MC is..
There are four estimates made for the anticipated cycle time to produce a subcomponent. The estimates, in seconds, are 10, 20, 30, and 70. If the first two estimates have equal weights, which total 70%, and the last two are weighted equally with the remaining 30%, what is the expected time?