Consider the following very simple random walk model. Let the starting position Xo = 0 be deterministic. At each time t yo flip a fair coin and add 1 to X,-1 if you see heads H, else add oif you see tails T. Suppose the first 9 coin fips result in the sequence HTTTHHTTT. Compute the first 10 terms of the time series {X,} Find the expected position E [X10] at time t = 10. 3.5 Find the expected position E [X20] at time t = 20. 8.5 Find the variance of the position X10 at time t = 10. 0.25 Find the variance of the position X20 at time t = 20. 0.25

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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Consider the following very simple random walk model. Let the starting position Xo = 0 be deterministic. At each timet you
fip a fair coin and add 1 to X,-1 if you see heads H, else add 0 if you see tails T. Suppose the first 9 coin flips result in the
sequence HTTTHHTTT. Compute the first 10 terms of the time series {X}0
Find the expected position E [X10] at time t = 10.
3.5
Find the expected position E [X20] at time t = 20.
8.5
Find the variance of the position X 10 at time t = 10.
0.25
Find the variance of the position X20 at time t = 20.
0.25
Transcribed Image Text:Consider the following very simple random walk model. Let the starting position Xo = 0 be deterministic. At each timet you fip a fair coin and add 1 to X,-1 if you see heads H, else add 0 if you see tails T. Suppose the first 9 coin flips result in the sequence HTTTHHTTT. Compute the first 10 terms of the time series {X}0 Find the expected position E [X10] at time t = 10. 3.5 Find the expected position E [X20] at time t = 20. 8.5 Find the variance of the position X 10 at time t = 10. 0.25 Find the variance of the position X20 at time t = 20. 0.25
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