Consider the following table which presents information on the returns in million pounds from a range of investment project alternatives for a company depending on the performance of the economy: the economy may be in a recession, performing at a normal level or booming. SCENARIO RECESSION NORMAL ВОOM Project A Project B Project C 12 18 28 10 22 32 11 21 31 a) Briefly describe and apply the following decision criteria to select the optimal project: Maxi – min rule; Мaxi i. ii. - max rule; iii. Mini max regret rule. b) Using data provided below, compute appropriate values and fill the table below to help identify the least risky and most risky project among alternatives A, B and C using appropriate criteria. Project EV D2 Var St.dev Coef.Of Var 12 0.2 A 18 0.7 28 0.1 10 0.3 В 22 0.6 32 0.1 11 0.1 C 21 0.8 31 0.1 Where t denotes the profit, P is the probability, EV stand for Expected value, D is the Deviation, D$ denote the deviation square, St. dev is the standard deviation and finally Coef.of Var is the coefficient of variation.
Consider the following table which presents information on the returns in million pounds from a range of investment project alternatives for a company depending on the performance of the economy: the economy may be in a recession, performing at a normal level or booming. SCENARIO RECESSION NORMAL ВОOM Project A Project B Project C 12 18 28 10 22 32 11 21 31 a) Briefly describe and apply the following decision criteria to select the optimal project: Maxi – min rule; Мaxi i. ii. - max rule; iii. Mini max regret rule. b) Using data provided below, compute appropriate values and fill the table below to help identify the least risky and most risky project among alternatives A, B and C using appropriate criteria. Project EV D2 Var St.dev Coef.Of Var 12 0.2 A 18 0.7 28 0.1 10 0.3 В 22 0.6 32 0.1 11 0.1 C 21 0.8 31 0.1 Where t denotes the profit, P is the probability, EV stand for Expected value, D is the Deviation, D$ denote the deviation square, St. dev is the standard deviation and finally Coef.of Var is the coefficient of variation.
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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Transcribed Image Text:Consider the following table which presents information on the returns in million pounds
from a range of investment project alternatives for a company depending on the performance
of the economy: the economy may be in a recession, performing at a normal level or
booming.
SCENARIO
RECESSION
NORMAL
ВОOM
Project A
Project B
Project C
12
18
28
10
22
32
11
21
31
a) Briefly describe and apply the following decision criteria to select the optimal project:
i.
Maxi – min rule;
ii.
Махi
- max rule;
11.
Mini max regret rule.
b) Using data provided below, compute appropriate values and fill the table below to help
identify the least risky and most risky project among alternatives A, B and C using
appropriate criteria.
Project
P
EV
D
D2
Var
St. dev Coef.Of Var
12
0.2
A
18
0.7
28
0.1
10
0.3
В
22
0.6
32
0.1
11
0.1
C
21
0.8
31
0.1
Where n denotes the profit, P is the probability, EV stand for Expected value, D is the
Deviation, D$ denote the deviation square, St. dev is the standard deviation and finally
Coef.of Var is the coefficient of variation.
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