Consider the following game played between an incumbent (I) a potential entrant (E): Incumbent: 80, Entrant: 40 Enter High Price E, Stay Out Incumbent: 120, Entrant: 0 High-Cost I, Enter Incumbent: 60, Entrant: 40 Nature Low Price E, Stay Out Incumbent: 100, Entrant: 0 Low-Cost Enter Incumbent: 150, Entrant: -10 Low Price Es Stay Out Incumbent: 200, Entrant: 0 Suppose the entrant observes a low price but is unsure whether they face a low-cost or high-cost incumbent, i.e. they are unsure whether they are at decision node E4 or E5. What is the maximum probability the incumbent is low cost such that the potential entrant will enter the market O a. 0.9 O b. 0.5 О с. 0.8 O d. 0.2

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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Consider the following game played between an incumbent (I) a potential entrant (E):
Incumbent: 80, Entrant: 40
Enter
High Price
Stay Out Incumbent: 120, Entrant: 0
High-Cost
I,
Enter Incumbent: 60, Entrant: 40
Nature
Low Price
Stay Out
Incumbent: 100, Entrant: 0
Low-Cost
Enter
Incumbent: 150, Entrant: -10
Low Price
Es
Stay Out
Incumbent: 200, Entrant: 0
Suppose the entrant observes a low price but is unsure whether they face a low-cost or high-cost incumbent, i.e. they are unsure whether they
are at decision node E4 or E5. What is the maximum probability the incumbent is low cost such that the potential entrant will enter the market?
Оа. 0.9
O b. 0.5
O c. 0.8
O d. 0.2
Transcribed Image Text:Consider the following game played between an incumbent (I) a potential entrant (E): Incumbent: 80, Entrant: 40 Enter High Price Stay Out Incumbent: 120, Entrant: 0 High-Cost I, Enter Incumbent: 60, Entrant: 40 Nature Low Price Stay Out Incumbent: 100, Entrant: 0 Low-Cost Enter Incumbent: 150, Entrant: -10 Low Price Es Stay Out Incumbent: 200, Entrant: 0 Suppose the entrant observes a low price but is unsure whether they face a low-cost or high-cost incumbent, i.e. they are unsure whether they are at decision node E4 or E5. What is the maximum probability the incumbent is low cost such that the potential entrant will enter the market? Оа. 0.9 O b. 0.5 O c. 0.8 O d. 0.2
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