City crime records show that 40% of all crimes are violent and 60% are nonviolent, involving theft, forgery, and so on. Ninety percent of violent crimes are reported versus 80% of nonviolent crimes. (a) What is the overall reporting rate for crimes in the city? Answer:_______________% (b) If a crime in progress is reported to the police, what is the probability that the crime is violent? (Round your answer to two decimal places.) Answer:_______________ If a crime in progress is reported to the police, what is the probability that it is nonviolent? (Round your answer to two decimal places.) Answer:_________________ (c)Refer to part (b). If a crime in progress is reported to the police, why is it more likely that it is a nonviolent crime? Wouldn't violent crimes be more likely to be reported? Can you explain these results? _____The proportion of nonviolent crimes is larger than the proportion of violent crimes. Therefore, when a crime is reported, it is actually more likely to be a violent crime. _____The proportion of nonviolent crimes is larger than the proportion of violent crimes. Therefore, when a crime is reported, it is more likely to be a nonviolent crime. _____The probability of reporting a violent crime is larger than the probability of reporting a nonviolent crime. Therefore, when a crime is reported, it is actually more likely to be a violent crime. _____The probability of reporting a violent crime is larger than the probability of reporting a nonviolent crime. Therefore, when a crime is reported, it is more likely to be a nonviolent crime.
Compound Probability
Compound probability can be defined as the probability of the two events which are independent. It can be defined as the multiplication of the probability of two events that are not dependent.
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Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with the subject of probability. Although there are many different concepts of probability, probability theory expresses the definition mathematically through a series of axioms. Usually, these axioms express probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure with values ranging from 0 to 1 to a set of outcomes known as the sample space. An event is a subset of these outcomes that is described.
Conditional Probability
By definition, the term probability is expressed as a part of mathematics where the chance of an event that may either occur or not is evaluated and expressed in numerical terms. The range of the value within which probability can be expressed is between 0 and 1. The higher the chance of an event occurring, the closer is its value to be 1. If the probability of an event is 1, it means that the event will happen under all considered circumstances. Similarly, if the probability is exactly 0, then no matter the situation, the event will never occur.
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